WSEAS Transactions on Biology and Biomedicine
Print ISSN: 1109-9518, E-ISSN: 2224-2902
Volume 21, 2024
A Dynamic Reaction-restore-type Transmission-rate Model for COVID-19
Authors: ,
Abstract: COVID-19 became a paradigmatic global pandemic for science, in a real laboratory inserted in reality
to understand how some dangerous virus spread can occur in human populations. In this article, a new strategic
epidemiological model is proposed, denoted β-SIR. It is because the transmission rate β follows a proper
dynamic law, more precisely a reaction-restore type transmission rate model. Some analytical results associated
with dynamic consequences are presented for variables of epidemiological interest. It is concluded, observing the
geometry of variables plots, such as transmission rate, effective reproductive number, daily new cases, and actives,
that pandemic propagation is very sensible to the population behavior, e.g., by adherence to non-pharmaceutical
mitigations and loss of compliance levels.
Search Articles
Pages: 118-130
DOI: 10.37394/23208.2024.21.12