WSEAS Transactions on Information Science and Applications
Print ISSN: 1790-0832, E-ISSN: 2224-3402
Volume 12, 2015
Mitigating Supply Chain Risks by Evaluating Supplier Bankruptcy Probabilities Through Web Services and the Black-Scholes-Merton Model
Authors: ,
Abstract: Industry consolidation and globalization represents a challenge for procurement organizations who typically become either recipients of the acquired company’s supplier base or are directly responsible for this increase by securing new suppliers to meet the operational demands of a global supply chain. An increased supplier base not only makes it more difficult to manage suppliers but also represents higher supply chain risks. The proposed model attempts to proactively evaluate bankruptcy probabilities of suppliers by capturing financial information using web services, computing this data using a modified equation version of a well-known financial model and producing risk potentials, in percentage points, for supplier bankruptcies. The study clearly shows the usefulness of the prototype when operating in a Service Oriented Architecture and offered to end users as a leading indicator of risk.
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Pages: 186-193
WSEAS Transactions on Information Science and Applications, ISSN / E-ISSN: 1790-0832 / 2224-3402, Volume 12, 2015, Art. #18