WSEAS Transactions on Business and Economics
Print ISSN: 1109-9526, E-ISSN: 2224-2899
Volume 22, 2025
Roadmap to Backcasting Procedures – Challenges to be Considered during the Implementation of NACE Rev.2 in Business Survey Statistics of Albania (SBS - Case), as a Step towards the Next Update of NACE Rev.2.1
Authors: ,
Abstract: This paper aims to describe some of the methodological challenges and concerns that come with the changeover from the NACE Rev.1.1 to the NACE Rev.2 in business statistics, illustrated by the SBS case in Albania. Different sampling and estimation strategies must be considered to produce reliable figures for the domains under both classifications simultaneously. Implementing the revised classification of economic activities, NACE Rev.2, is a major task for Albania and countries that haven’t implemented it yet. A substantial amount of work will need to be carried out in the range of business registers by double coding the activities in both NACEs, business survey methodology, and national accounts. On the other hand, this article discusses that the change of NACE provides an excellent opportunity to substantially improve sample and estimation design and build bridges between old and new NACE. In such situations, the micro and macro approaches should be carefully analyzed among themselves, with their pros and cons, and the appropriate decision for back-casting purposes should be considered. During this process, the National Statistical Institute will face several major challenges, that are illustrated with examples while elaborating the idea behind this paper. Through the examples, this article highlights the roadmap to the back-casting procedure. It is a cornerstone for the next implementation of NACE Rev.2.1, in Albania and the Institute of Statistics staff', and it also comes in handy for anyone who wants to get to know the back-casting technique.
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Keywords: NACE Rev.2, SBS, estimates, conversion matrix, back-casting, micro-approach, macro-approach
Pages: 1021-1033
DOI: 10.37394/23207.2025.22.85