Corruption Mudhorot for Economic Growth in 7 ASEAN Countries
HERU WAHYUDI
Economic Development, Faculty of Economics and Business
University of Lampung
Jln. H. Komarudin, Rajabasa Raya, Rajabasa, Bandar Lampung
INDONESIA
WIDIA ANGGI PALUPI
Economic Development, Faculty of Economics and Business
University of Lampung
Rajabasa, Bandar Lampung
INDONESIA
Abstract: - Corruption is a detrimental act for many people, especially related to the economy. Various groups
widely discuss corruption and economic growth from academia, government, and the private sector. This is
even more complex when coupled with competitiveness between countries and democratic systems. So this
study aims to analyze the mudhorot of corruption and the influence of global competitiveness and democracy
on economic growth in ASEAN countries. This study used panel data analysis methods in 7 ASEAN countries
from 2014-2019. The seven countries are Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, the Philippines, Vietnam, Laos, and
Cambodia. It is related to economic growth, corruption, and competitiveness in ASEAN countries. The results
of this study show that corruption brings mudhorot but has yet to be significant to economic growth. Another
interesting finding is that democracy negatively affects global competitiveness and increases economic growth.
This research can be one of the government's policy recommendations by increasing economic growth through
strict enforcement against corruption and increasing global competitiveness. To realize economic growth that
prospers society requires the role of the government through increasing human and institutional resources to
support other competitiveness factors that focus on technological, environmental, and innovation aspects.
Key-Words: - Corruption, Democracy, Global Competitiveness, Economic Growth
Received: April 22, 2022. Revised: January 15, 2023. Accepted: February 11, 2023. Published: March 7, 2023.
1 Introduction
The Creator of the universe orders people to do
justice and good deeds, gives rights to relatives, and
forbids abominations and wrongdoing. Violation of
sharia will create mudhorot on a micro and macro
basis. A country with a sound justice system, honest
government officials, and clear and strong
legislation will experience a higher standard of
economic living compared to a country where the
justice system is weak, the government is corrupt,
and there are frequent revolutions or coups. The
government maintains domestic security and
defence, administers justice, and provides goods not
provided by the private sector are the functions of
the government, [1].
The commitment of ASEAN countries is to
accelerate economic growth, social progress, and
cultural development in the region, to promote
regional peace and stability through respect for
justice and the rule of law in relations between
countries in the area, and adherence to the
principles, [2].
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on SYSTEMS
DOI: 10.37394/23202.2023.22.11
Heru Wahyudi, Widia Anggi Palupi
E-ISSN: 2224-2678
101
Volume 22, 2023
Table 1. ASEAN Economic Growth 2014 2019 (in Percent)
Country
Year
2014
2016
2017
2018
2019
Indonesia
5.01
5.03
5.06
5.16
5.01
Malaysia
6.01
4.44
5.81
4.76
4.30
Thailand
0.98
3.43
4.17
4.18
2.26
Philippines
6.35
7.14
6.93
6.34
6.11
Vietnam
5.98
6.21
6.81
7.07
7.01
Laos
7.61
7.02
6.89
6.24
5.45
Cambodia
7.14
6.93
6.84
7.46
7.05
Source: Word Bank 2020 (data processed)
From Table 1, in 2014, Laos had the highest
economic growth of 7.61%, while the lowest
economic growth was 0.98% in Thailand.
Nonetheless, Thailand's economic growth tends to
increase every year, except at the end of the year,
which fell by 1.92% from the previous year.
Indonesia has an economic expansion that tends to
be stable, which is at 5%, except in 2015,
Indonesia's economic growth fell to 4%, but after
that, it stabilized again at 5%. Malaysia has
economic growth in the range of 4-6%, but
Malaysia's economic growth rate tends to decline
during the study period, except in 2017, which
increased by 1.37% from the previous year.
The Philippines' economic growth is dominated
at 6%. This economic growth is higher than the
economic growth of Indonesia, Malaysia,
Singapore, and Thailand. The Philippines even
obtained 7.14% in 2016. However, the Philippines'
economic growth has continuously decreased,
although not significantly, except in 2016, the
Philippines' economic growth increased by 0.8%
from the previous year. Vietnam, Laos, and
Cambodia's economic growth is an economic
growth that is more significant than the last
country's explanation. Cambodia is a country that
has the highest average economic growth score
among ASEAN countries, which is 7.09%. This is
supported by the range of Cambodia's economic
growth rate, which is higher than that of other
ASEAN countries, namely 6-7%. Laos and Vietnam
have the same range of economic growth values,
namely 5-7%. Laos has an average economic
growth of 6.75%, while Vietnam has 6.6%.
Cambodia and Vietnam have almost the same
economic growth cycle, experiencing fluctuating
numbers every year. Laos although it has relatively
high economic growth, Laos' economic growth
continues to decline every year.
The economic growth of each country has
fluctuated. Many factors affect economic
development, including investment, technology,
labor, education, and capital. In addition, various
research sources state that corruption hurts
economic growth. [3] said that partially the
corruption perception index (CPI) had a positive and
significant effect on economic growth in ASEAN
countries (research 2000-2017). This means that
corruption hurts economic growth. This is supported
by economists who view corruption as one of the
reasons for a country’s decline in economic
development. The higher the level of corruption, the
worse the economic growth in a country. Corruption
is measured through the Corruption Perception
Index (CPI ), which has a score of 0-100. There is
less corruption when a country’s GPA is close to
100. When the CPI gets closer to 0 in a country, the
higher corruption in that country increases.
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on SYSTEMS
DOI: 10.37394/23202.2023.22.11
Heru Wahyudi, Widia Anggi Palupi
E-ISSN: 2224-2678
102
Volume 22, 2023
Fig. 1: Corruption Relations and Economic Growth in 7 ASEAN Countries (2014-2019) Based on Average per
Year
Source: World Bank (2020) & Transparency International (2021), data is processed
In Figure 1, Cambodia is the country that has
the highest average economic growth in ASEAN
countries in the study period, namely 7.09%. Still,
Cambodia has the lowest average GPA among
nations and the study period, amounting to 20.67. In
contrast, Malaysia has an average economic growth
softer than Cambodia (5.07%) and has the highest
GPA in ASEAN. This means that there needs to be
more balance between the value of corruption and
economic growth in this country. In terms of the
effect of sin on economic growth, there are many
different results from researchers. Some economists
view corruption as the main obstacle to
development.
The impact of corruption on economic growth is
that it can reduce the state budget, which will impact
the state's ability to reduce corruption and the
amount of government spending, especially social
security and public welfare payments. This study
concludes that sin negatively affects outshine,
according to research conducted by [4].
[4], using the method of analysis of literature
studies with the object of 15 previous studies,
concluded that the effect of corruption on economic
growth depends on financial freedom. If economic
freedom has a high level of economic freedom, then
the CPI has a positive impact on the growth of
economic freedom. If economic freedom has a low
level of financial freedom, then the CPI hurts
economic growth. In other words, corruption hurts
economic growth if economic freedom is high in a
country. If economic freedom has a low level of
financial freedom, then the influence of corruption
has a positive effect on economic growth. Economic
freedom is a framework in which principles
compatible with the ideals of prosperity are
implemented in financial institutions and processes.
It is suspected that the effect of the difference in
these results depends on how financial freedom is
implemented in each country, as the study results,
[4]. In addition, good economic growth is economic
growth that tends to be stable, not too high, and no,t
too low. Most economists agree that the ideal
economic growth rate is 2% and 3%. This can
explain the differences in the results of the CPI and
economic growth in the study period, especially in
the cases of Cambodia and Malaysia.
Based on the theory of endogenous growth,
which states that economic growth is influenced by
factors of influence and availability of laws and
regulations, political stability, government policies,
and bureaucracy on country's economic growth, [5],
is concluded that there is a relationship between
corruption and economic development in 7 countries
ASEAN during the study period.
Apart from corruption, according to research
conducted by [6], democracy also has a positive and
significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia.
This means that every time there is an increase in
democracy, economic growth will increase.
Democracy is a form of government in which all
citizens have the same right to make decisions that
can change the lives of the people and the state in a
country.
[7] also researched the effect of democracy on
economic growth using 81 published literature
studies using the Meta-Analytic method. The
conclusion is that three-quarters of the regressions
have been unable to find the "desired" positive and
significant sign. The results of this study also prove
that half of the regression models find substantial
estimates, and the rest are nonsignificant. This
means that there are many differences in the results
of research on the effect of democracy on economic
growth from previous studies.
Indonesia Malaysia Thailand Filipina Vietnam Laos Kamboja
KO 37 49,67 36,67 35,33 33,33 27,83 20,67
PE 5,06 5,07 2,86 6,54 6,63 6,75 7,09
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
KO (Indeks), PE (%)
KO PE
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on SYSTEMS
DOI: 10.37394/23202.2023.22.11
Heru Wahyudi, Widia Anggi Palupi
E-ISSN: 2224-2678
103
Volume 22, 2023
Fig. 2: Democracy Relations and Economic Growth in 7 ASEAN Countries (2014-2019) Based on Annual
Average
Source: World Bank (2020) & Economist Intelligence Unit (2019), data is processed.
From the picture above (Figure 2), it can be
seen that Cambodia has an average value of
democracy index of 4.01 and has the highest
average value of economic growth of 7.09%.
Meanwhile, Laos, which has the lowest average
democracy index (2.28), has an average economic
growth higher than other countries (except
Cambodia), 6.75%. The conclusion is that the
system and form of government influence the
democracy of ASEAN countries and how the
implementation of government performance, and the
contribution of society in a country. There is a
correlation between the form and system of the
state, the role of government, democracy, and
economic growth.
[8] argued that democracy has weak and fragile
political institutions. Democratic governments are
vulnerable to demands for redistribution to lower-
income groups. Non-democratic regimes can
forcefully implement rigid economic policies
necessary for growth and emphasize markets that
inhibit growth in low incomesJustice and welfare
to the government. However, democracy is also
important because it is an effort to maximize the
role of society as social control of the government.
This is the basis for research on democracy
variables. As corruption is related to endogenous
growth theory, democracy is also part of an
endogenous factor because it sees political stability,
government policies, and bureaucracy on the
economic growth of a country.
In addition to corruption and democracy, many
opinions from previous research have resulted in
global competitiveness influencing economic
growth, even significantly and positively. This
statement is reinforced by research by [9], and, [10].
The Organization for Economic Cooperation and
Development (OECD) Program on Technology and
the Economy 1992 defines a country’s
competitiveness based on better productivity, [10].
According to Nababan, competitiveness is related to
improving living standards, developing employment
opportunities, and the ability of a nation to fulfill its
international obligations. This link supports
economic growth in a country. Meanwhile, the
World Economic Forum (WEF) defines a country's
competitiveness as the ability of the national
economy to achieve a sustainable growth rate.
Indonesia Malaysia Thailand Filipina Vietnam Laos Kamboja
DE 6,7 6,67 5,16 6,77 3,26 2,28 4,01
PE 5,06 5,07 2,86 6,54 6,63 6,75 7,09
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
DE (Indeks), PE (%)
DE PE
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on SYSTEMS
DOI: 10.37394/23202.2023.22.11
Heru Wahyudi, Widia Anggi Palupi
E-ISSN: 2224-2678
104
Volume 22, 2023
Fig. 3: Relationship between Global Competitiveness and Economic Growth in 7 ASEAN Countries (2014-
2019) Based on Annual Average
Source: World Bank (2020) & World Economic Forum (2019), data is processed
From the picture above (Figure 3), it can be
seen that Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines,
Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia have an average
global competitiveness of above 50 and get an
average value of economic growth of more than 5%.
Only Thailand has a high average global
competitiveness but a low economic growth rate.
This can support the research hypothesis, which
means that global competitiveness significantly
affects economic growth.
According to the Neoclassical growth theory,
the factors that influence economic growth
according to this theory are capital, labor, and
technology, [11]. This theory believes that
increasing the number of workers can boost
economic growth but must be supported by modern
technology. Economic growth is the process by
which there is an increase in Gross Domestic
Product (GDP) over a long period. So the economy
is said to grow or develop when output growth
occurs, [12]. The amount of output is a function of
labor and capital. Global competitiveness is
included in this theory because the framework for
forming the value of the worldwide competitiveness
index consists of 4 aspects: a supportive/conducive
environment, human capital, market aspects, and
innovation ecosystems, [13]. These four aspects are
further broken down into 12 pillars: institutions,
infrastructure, ICT adoption, macroeconomic
stability, health, skills, markets for goods and
services, labor market, financial system, economic
size, business dynamics, and innovation capabilities.
Based on the background above, the
formulation of the problem of this research is
the mudhorod of corruption for economic
growth in 7 ASEAN countries with the research
question of how is the influence of sin,
democracy, and global competitiveness on
economic growth in 7 ASEAN countries in
2014-2019. Do all the independent variables
jointly affect the dependent variable?
This study aims to partially and
simultaneously analyze how corruption,
democracy, and global competitiveness are
committed to economic growth in 7 ASEAN
countries. This study also analyzes more deeply
related to the modorot of bribery in the ASEAN
economy. In addition, the purpose of this study is
expected to be one of the considerations in
decision-making about minimizing cases of
corruption, global competitiveness, and
democracy to prosper the people in ASEAN
countries.
2 Methodology and Variables
This quantitative study uses secondary data from the
World Bank, Transparency International, Economic
Intelligence Unit, and World Economic Forum. The
objects in this study are 7 ASEAN countries from
2014-2019, which is called research with panel data.
The dependent variable used in this study is
economic growth. Meanwhile, the independent
variables used are corruption, democracy, and
global competitiveness. To provide direction in this
study, the following table (Table 2) of operational
definitions of variables is presented.
Indonesia Malaysia Thailand Filipina Vietnam Laos Kamboja
DS 65,18 73,84 66,8 62,15 60,58 54,42 54,57
PE 5,06 5,07 2,86 6,54 6,63 6,75 7,09
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
DS (Indeks), PE (%)
DS PE
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on SYSTEMS
DOI: 10.37394/23202.2023.22.11
Heru Wahyudi, Widia Anggi Palupi
E-ISSN: 2224-2678
105
Volume 22, 2023
Table 2. Variable Operational Definitions
Variable
Source
Definition
Economic growth
World Bank
The annual percentage growth rate of Gross Domestic
Product (GDP) at constant market prices based on local
currency.
Corruption
Transparency
International
Survey results are released annually. They use the
methodology of selecting source data, rescaling source data,
combining rescaled data, and statistical measures indicating
the degree of certainty drawn from 13 data sets.
Democracy
Economist
Intelligence
Unit
Average based on answers to 60 indicator questions. Where
the solutions are primarily from experts. Some of the results
of public opinion surveys from each country.
Global
Competitiveness
World
Economic
Forum
The framework for forming global competitiveness is the
enabling environment, human capital, market aspects, and
innovation ecosystems.
The purpose of this study is to find out how the
influence of independent variables on dependent
variables both simultaneously and partially, so this
study uses the Ordinary Least Square (OLS)
method. Applying the OLS method must meet
classical assumptions to obtain the best, linear,
unbiased estimator (BLUE) results. The classical
belief consists of a normality test, a
heteroskedasticity test, an autocorrelation test, and a
multicollinearity test.
The economic models used in this study are as
follows:
Y = f(X1 , X2 , X3 , X4 ) (1)
Then the model is transformed into a model of the
panel data regression equation:
𝑃𝐸𝑖𝑡 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1KO𝑖𝑡 + 𝛽2DE𝑖𝑡 + 𝛽3DS𝑖𝑡 + μ𝑖𝑡 (2)
Information:
𝑃𝐸𝑖t : Economic Growth (percent)
KO𝑖𝑡 : Corruption (index)
DE𝑖 t : Democracy (index)
𝐷𝑆𝑖𝑡 : Global Competitiveness(index)
𝑖 : Shows the cross-section
𝑡 : Shows the dimensions of the time series
β0 : Constant (intercept)
β1, β2 , β3 , β4 : Regression coefficient
μ 𝑖 t : Error term
3 Result and Discussion
3.1 Research Results
3.1.1 Descriptive Statistical Analysis
Descriptive statistics is an analysis that provides a
general description of the characteristics of each
research variable as seen from the average (mean),
maximum and minimum values. Based on the
results of the descriptive statistical test, the results
are obtained in Table 3 as follows:
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on SYSTEMS
DOI: 10.37394/23202.2023.22.11
Heru Wahyudi, Widia Anggi Palupi
E-ISSN: 2224-2678
106
Volume 22, 2023
Table 3. Research Variable Descriptive Statistics
PE
KO
DE
DS
Mean
5.735262
34.35714
4.979524
62.50429
Media
6.165000
35.00000
5.000500
62.21500
Maximum
7.612000
53.00000
7.16000
74.65000
Minimum
0.984000
20.00000
2.14000
49.27000
Source: Eviews 9, (2022)
Based on Table 3, during the observation period
(2014-2019), the average economic growth in the 7
ASEAN countries was 5.74%. The highest
economic growth was in Laos, which was 7.61% in
2014. Laos is one of the ASEAN countries whose
economy is unstable. Various government efforts
have been made to increase the countrys economy,
especially since the AEC commitment was agreed
upon in 2015, as conveyed by Bouasone
Bouphavanh (Prime Minister of Laos 2015) that
Laos goal is to eradicate poverty so that it can get
rid of the status of underdeveloped country in
2020 with a focus on economic development, [14].
In addition, Laos started a change for the better by
becoming a dmocratic republic. Laos highly
depends on regional economic growth, tourism,
foreign investment, and aid in an increasingly
integrated ASEAN economy. Some of them are
cooperation called the development of the Laos,
Cambodia, and Vietnam triangle, cooperation
between Laos, Thailand, and Cambodia, as well as
trade and economic cooperation on border
development between Ayeyawaddy and Chao
Phraya. This underlies the high level of economic
growth in Laos. At the same time, the lowest
economic growth was in Thailand in 2014, which
was 0.98%. This was caused by the political crisis,
the decline in agricultural commodity prices, and the
decline in exports. Key Thai agrarian sectors such as
rice and rubber experienced a global price slump.
This reduced the harvest volume and income of Thai
people, [15].
The study period's average corruption
(corruption perception index) was 34.4. Corruption
in ASEAN countries, if it is averaged, is relatively
high. Malaysia has the highest corruption perception
index in ASEAN, namely 53 in 2019, meaning
Malaysian corruption is the lowest in ASEAN. The
control of the public policy system is good in this
country. The lowest corruption perception index
was in Cambodia in 2018 and 2019, namely 20,
meaning that the highest corruption in ASEAN was
in Cambodia.
The average democracy during the study period
was 4.98. If levelled out, democracy in ASEAN
countries is categorized as a Hybrid Regime. If
averaged by government and research period, no
ASEAN countries (according to the research) are
classed as full democracies. Indonesia, Malaysia,
and the Philippines are classified as imperfect
democracies. Thailand is a hybrid regime, and
Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia are ranked as
Authoritarian Regimes. Malaysia had the highest
democracy in 2019, namely, 7.16. Meanwhile, the
lowest democracy was in Laos in 2019, namely
2.14.
The average global competitiveness during the
study period was 62.50. Malaysia had the highest
global competitiveness of 74.65 in 2016, while the
lowest global competitiveness was in Laos in 2018
at 49.27.
3.1.2 Panel Data Regression Model Selection
The panel data regression model has three main
approaches, namely the Common Effect Model
(CEM), Fixed Effect Model (FEM), and Random
Effect Model (REM) as shown in Table 4, and Table
5. To find out the right approach in panel data
regression is determined through several tests,
namely the Chow test, Hausman test, and the BG-
LM Test.
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on SYSTEMS
DOI: 10.37394/23202.2023.22.11
Heru Wahyudi, Widia Anggi Palupi
E-ISSN: 2224-2678
107
Volume 22, 2023
Table 1. Panel Data Regression Model Selection
Test
Prob
Decision
Chow
0.0000
FEM
Lagrange Multiplier (LM)
0.0000
CEM
Hausman
0.00 00
FEM
Source: Eviews 9, (2022)
Based on the tests that have been carried out,
the best model chosen to analyze the effects of
corruption, democracy, and global competitiveness
on economic growth in 7 ASEAN countries during
2014-2019 is the Fixed Effect.
Table 5. FEM Regression Estimation Results
Variables
coefficient
std. Error
t-statistics
Prob.
C
4.523386
3.595483
1.258074
0.2175
Ko
-0.054887
0.049842
-1.101209
0.2790
De
-0.979074
0.267527
-3.659723
0.0009
Etc
0.127559
0.048250
2.643680
0.0126
Effects specification
Cross-section fixed (dummy variables)
R-squared
0.892815
Mean dependent var
5.735262
Adjusted r-squared
0.862670
Sd Dependent var
1.486823
Se Of regression
0.550989
Akaike info criterion
1.850052
Sum squared residue
9.714834
Schwarz criterion
2.263783
Likelihood logs
-28.85109
Hannan-Quinn criteria.
2.001701
F-statistics
29.61667
Durbin-Watson stat
1.902264
Prob(f-statistic)
0.000000
Source: Eviews 9, (2022)
3.1.3 Classical Assumption Testing
The classic assumption test consists of a normality
test, multicollinearity detection, heteroscedasticity
test, and autocorrelation test. The normality test is
needed to determine the normality of the error term
and the dependent variable and the independent
variable. The research aims to test whether the
residual regression results have a normal
distribution.
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on SYSTEMS
DOI: 10.37394/23202.2023.22.11
Heru Wahyudi, Widia Anggi Palupi
E-ISSN: 2224-2678
108
Volume 22, 2023
Fig. 4: Normality Test
Source: Eviews 9, (2022)
The picture above (Figure 4) shows that the J-B
Probability value of 0.067570 is more significant
than more excellent (0.05), which means that the
residue is spread commonly. According to the study,
[16], if the probability value of J-B is greater than
the value of 0.05, then the data is distributed
normally. Next is to detect multicollinearity with the
Variance Inflation Factor and Tolerance (VIF)
method as the test results are as follows:
Table 6. Multicollinearity Test with VIF
Variables
Coefficient Variances
Uncentered
VIF Centered VIF
KO
0.002611
87.33667
4.976499
DE
0.025656
19.05981
2.058059
DS
0.005164
545.3243
6.105528
Source: Eviews 9, (2022)
From Table 6. it can be seen that the Centered
VIF value is below 10. If the VIF value is more than
10, it is suspected that there is multicollinearity. As
a rule of thumb, if the VIF value exceeds 10, it is
said that there is multicollinearity, [17]. The results
show that the VIF value is below 10, so the data is
free from multicollinearity problems.
Next is the heteroscedasticity test shown in
Table 7. The Heteroscedasticity Test aims to test
whether, in the regression model, there is an
inequality of variance from the residuals of one
observation to another. In this research,
Heteroscedasticity was tested using the Glacier
method. To determine whether the disturbance
variable pattern contains heteroscedasticity, this
method suggests carrying out a regression value of
the residual absolute value with the independent
variable.
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on SYSTEMS
DOI: 10.37394/23202.2023.22.11
Heru Wahyudi, Widia Anggi Palupi
E-ISSN: 2224-2678
109
Volume 22, 2023
Table 7. Heteroscedasticity Test Results
Variables
coefficient
std. Error
t-Statistics
Prob.
C
3,523,817
2,040,629
1,726,829
0.0938
KO
0.004658
0.028288
0.164669
0.8702
DE
-0.066379
0.151836
-0.437175
0.6649
DS
-0.047774
0.027385
-1,744,552
0.0907
Source: Eviews 9, (2022)
From the regression results above, it can be
concluded that the data is free from
heteroscedasticity problems because the probability
value is more than α = 5%, so this data is free from
heteroscedasticity problems. While the
Autocorrelation Test is the last classical assumption
test. Autocorrelation means a correlation between
members of the observation with other observations
at different times. One method that can be used to
determine whether there is a correlation between
error terms is Durbin-Watson. The results show
Durbin-Watson (FEM), namely Durbin-Watson stat
1.902264 with dL and dU values in the Durbin-
Watson table, where n = 42 k = 3 so that dL = 1.383
and du = 1.666 are obtained. So it can be concluded
that there is no autocorrelation problem in this study
because the Durbin-Watson value lies between dU
and 4-dU.
3.1.4 Statistical Testing
3.1.4.1 t-test test
The t-test is used to test each variable partially as
shown in Table 8. If H0 is rejected, the tested
independent variable significantly influences the
dependent variable. If H0 is accepted, the
independent variable tested has no significant effect
on the dependent variable.
According to the t-test, the decision is
carried out if the Right-sided one-way test
(positive):
1. Prob value t-statistic < level of significance,
then the independent variable significantly
influences the dependent variable.
2. Prob value t-statistics > significance level, the
independent variables do not significantly
affect the dependent variable.
One-way left-side(negative) test:
1. Prob value t-statistic < level of significance,
then the independent variable significantly
influences the dependent variable.
2. Prob value t-statistics > significance level, the
independent variables do not significantly
affect the dependent variable.
So that the resulting regression test of each
independent variable on the dependent variable is as
follows:
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on SYSTEMS
DOI: 10.37394/23202.2023.22.11
Heru Wahyudi, Widia Anggi Palupi
E-ISSN: 2224-2678
110
Volume 22, 2023
Table 8. T-statistic test
Variable
t-statistics
Prob.
Conclusion
KO
-1.101209
0.2790
H0 accepted
DE
-3.659723
0.0009
H0 is rejected
DS
2.643680
0.0126
H0 is rejected
Source: Eviews 9, (2022)
1. Prob test results. T-statistic variable corruption
(KO) of 0.2790. This value is greater than the
significance value of 5% (0.05) and the
confidence level or df (degree of freedom) = 95.
This means that H0 is accepted and Ha is rejected.
So it was concluded that the corruption variable
did not significantly affect economic growth in
ASEAN in 2014-2019.
2. Prob test results. The t-statistical variable of
democracy (DE) is 0.0009. This value is smaller
than the significance of 5% (0.05) and the
confidence level or df (degree of freedom) = 95.
This means that H0 is rejected, and Ha is accepted.
So it can be concluded that the democracy
variable has a negative effect (because it has a
negative t-statistic value of -3.659723)
significantly on economic growth in ASEAN in
2014-2019.
3. Prob test results. T-statistic variable global
competitiveness of 0.0126. This value is smaller
than the significance of 5% (0.05) and the
confidence level or df (degree of freedom) = 95.
This means that H0 is rejected, and Ha is accepted.
So it can be concluded that the global
competitiveness variable has a positive effect
(because it has a positive t-statistic value of
2.643680) significantly on economic growth in
ASEAN in the years 2014-2019.
3.1.4.2 F test
The F test was conducted to determine whether
all the independent variables simultaneously or
together were statistically significant in influencing
the dependent variable.
Table 9. F test
R-squared
0.892815
Mean dependent var
5,735,262
Adjusted R-squared
0.86267
SD dependent var
1,486,823
SE of regression
0.550989
Akaike info criterion
1,850,052
Sum squared residue
9,714,834
Schwarz criterion
2,263,783
Likelihood logs
-2,885,109
Hannan-Quinn criteria.
2,001,701
F-statistics
2,961,667
Durbin-Watson stat
1,902,264
Prob(F-statistic)
0.000000
Source: Eviews 9
Based on Table 9, the simultaneous significance
test results obtained a probability value (F-Statistic)
of 0.00 <0.05. It can be concluded that rejecting H0
means that all independent variables consisting of
corruption, democracy, and global competitiveness
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on SYSTEMS
DOI: 10.37394/23202.2023.22.11
Heru Wahyudi, Widia Anggi Palupi
E-ISSN: 2224-2678
111
Volume 22, 2023
in ASEAN countries were equally influential and
significant to economic growth in 2014-2019.
3.1.5 Coefficient of Determination (R2)
The coefficient of determination (R2) measures how
well the model can explain the dependent variable.
Based on the results of the FEM test, the coefficient
of determination (R2) is 0.892815, which means that
variations in economic growth can be explained by
variations in corruption, democracy, and global
competitiveness of 89.2815%, and the remaining
10.7185% is influenced by variables other.
3.2 Discussion
Based on the results of tests carried out previously,
the panel data regression approach method chosen is
the Fixed Effect Model (FEM). The following is the
regression coefficient using the Fixed Effect Model
(FEM) method:
PEit = 4.523386 0.054887KO1it 0.979074DE2it* +
0.127559DS3it* (3)
*) significant at α = 5%
The estimation results show the value of each
coefficient and how the independent variable
influences the dependent variable. The constant (c)
of 4.523386 has a positive sign, meaning that if
corruption, democracy, and global competitiveness
are equal to zero, then the average economic growth
in the 7 ASEAN countries in 2014-2019 is 4.52%,
which cateris paribus.
3.2.1 Effects of Corruption on Economic Growth
in 7 ASEAN Countries
The regression coefficient of corruption has a
negative and insignificant effect on economic
growth, namely -0.054887 in 7 ASEAN countries in
the research period. If corruption increases by one
index, economic growth in 7 ASEAN countries will
decrease by 0.054887 percent but not significantly,
assuming it cateris paribus. This result rejects the
research hypothesis. Although not significant,
corruption hurts economic growth. These results are
consistent with, [18] which states that economic
growth can increase corruption. The analysis results
show that relatively rich countries have lower levels
of corruption when compared to relatively poorer
countries. Prosperous or advanced do not
necessarily have a high level of economic growth.
The relationship between corruption and
economic growth, according to, [8], states that
corruption will increase economic growth by
accelerating the bureaucracy so that problems in the
bureaucracy are more accessible to solve using
money than by following the existing flow. But this
has an impact on Moral Hazard. As a country
leader, the government certainly needs to have
leadership with integrity, honesty, and fairness.
Every government policy decision will undoubtedly
have a positive or negative impact. There will be
challenges, risks, and even advantages or
disadvantages, as well as corruption-related policies.
No country wants to increase corruption. However,
the fact is that corruption occurs a lot in developing
countries. The study’s results rejected the
hypothesis due to the country's fluctuating economic
growth value and the uncertain research period.
The study results are by the endogenous theory
because this research looks at laws and regulations,
political stability, government policies, and
bureaucracy toward the economic growth of a
country. Endogenous growth theory includes
exogenous variables beyond neoclassical variables,
and corruption is an exogenous variable from
development.
Corruption is a deviant act. The government
must act decisively in dealing with corruption cases.
In this study, corruption has little effect on
economic growth. Still, when many officials commit
acts of corruption, public trust will decrease, and
domestic financial stability will be disrupted.
Corruption has an impact on reducing the budget
and reducing government spending, especially in the
field of social security and public welfare payments,
disrupting national defence and political stability.
Corruption can reduce the role and function of
maximizing government, including the function of
allocation, distribution, stabilization, development,
and empowerment, as the theory of government that
Musgrave sparked. The government must maximize
its role to improve according to its function.
3.2.2 The Influence of Democracy on Economic
Growth in 7 ASEAN Countries
The democratic regression coefficient negatively
and significantly influences economic growth,
namely -0.979074 in 7 ASEAN countries in the
study period. This means that if democracy
increases by one index, economic growth in 7
ASEAN countries will decrease by 0.979074
percent, assuming ceteris paribus.
According to [7], the relationship between
democracy and economic growth has been debated
for the last 50 years. So many research results on a
national and international scale have different
results from the influence of democracy on
economic growth. There is a relationship between
the system of government, the financial system, and
democracy in a country. How the system of
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on SYSTEMS
DOI: 10.37394/23202.2023.22.11
Heru Wahyudi, Widia Anggi Palupi
E-ISSN: 2224-2678
112
Volume 22, 2023
government adopted in a country will affect all
forms of policies and community activities in a
country, including economic activities and
democratic conditions. Countries with multiple
parties will incur more party costs and costs to
support other democratic movements. This can
cause a large amount of budget to be issued by the
government, in contrast to countries with a two-
party system, such as the United States. The
electoral mechanism is more practical because of
the many candidate packages. There are only two
submitted, so the winner is sure to reach more than
50% of the, [19]. Efficiency and cost-effectiveness
can be controlled.
[8] argues that democracy has weak and fragile
political institutions. Democratic governments are
vulnerable to demands for redistribution to lower-
income groups. Non-democratic regimes can
enforce rigid economic policies necessary for
growth and impose constraints on low-income
growth demands, [7]. However, democracy in a
country is still needed. When the people speak up,
there is hope and the desired policy changes and
improvements. Of course, every policy has
advantages and disadvantages. This is the basis for
the voice of the people in a country. In addition, the
community also functions as government social
control. However, the government, as the decision
maker, has full power to determine policy. In
addition, the government is a driver of
"development" obligated to support policy programs
supporting economic development, including
considering socio-economic influences
(considerations about wealth and income
distribution). The government also has an
empowerment function, meaning that the role of the
community, both in freedom of expression and
opinion, must be heard. As [20] stated that public
disappointment is related to the implementation of
democracy in the country they live in, where in
practice, democracy does not necessarily fulfill what
the people want, for example, good public services,
freedom of the press, and opinion.
Implementing a democratic government
prevents one or several people from accumulating
power. They are reducing uncertainty and
instability, guaranteeing citizens who disagree with
current policies by providing rare opportunities to
change who holds power and thus has the authority
to make decisions. The results of this study are by
endogenous theory because this study looks at laws
and regulations, political stability, government
policies, and bureaucracy on the economic growth
of a country.
3.2.3 The Influence of Global Competitiveness on
Economic Growth in 7 ASEAN Countries
The global competitiveness regression coefficient
positively and significantly influences economic
growth, namely 0.127559 in 7 ASEAN countries in
the study period. This means that if global
competitiveness increases by one index, economic
growth in 7 ASEAN countries will increase by
0.127559 percent, assuming ceteris paribus. This
result is by [10], which states that the GDP of
ASEAN-7 countries has a positive and significant
effect on the increase in GCI, except for Thailand.
Research from, [21] also says that economic growth
has a significant positive impact on economic
growth. Likewise, study, [9] states that economic
growth has a significant positive effect on economic
growth, especially in the pillars of technology,
capacity, cost, and demand (case studies of
developing countries).
To increase global competitiveness, ASEAN-7
countries need to improve the sub-indices and
pillars of competitiveness by adjusting the
categories of development stages. To complete the
ranking of the progress of each country compared to
other countries, it is necessary to analyze other
indices such as the doing business indicator (World
Bank), the Human Development Index (UNDP), and
the Climate Competitiveness Index (PBB).
The results of this study are by the endogenous
theory because non-economic factors are included in
the pillars of the global competitiveness index, such
as institutional pillars that influence economic
growth. The results of this study are also by the neo-
classical theory. Capital, labor, and technology are
factors that affect economic growth. According to
this theory, increasing the number of workers can
boost economic growth but must be supported by
modern technology. According to this theory,
economic growth in a country is primarily
determined by its ability to increase its production
capacity, which is supported by the mobility of
labor and capital between countries. The
government's role in increasing development and
empowerment is vital to be maximized to support a
better country's economy by considering the existing
human, technological and environmental resources.
4 Conclusion
Based on the results of data analysis and discussion,
it is concluded that Corruption has no effect on
economic growth in ASEAN countries, Democracy
has a negative and significant impact on economic
growth in ASEAN countries, and Global
competitiveness has a positive and significant effect
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on SYSTEMS
DOI: 10.37394/23202.2023.22.11
Heru Wahyudi, Widia Anggi Palupi
E-ISSN: 2224-2678
113
Volume 22, 2023
on economic growth in ASEAN countries in 2014-
2019. The results of this study also produce
corruption, democracy, and global competitiveness,
which significantly affected economic growth in
ASEAN countries in 2014-2019.
Although corruption did not have a significant
effect on the period and country of the study, crime
should be reduced accompanied by controlling
economic growth that is not too high and not too
low (2-3% range) because, in this way, economic
development and the corruption perception index
will be good in a given period: countries, especially
ASEAN. In conclusion, the government's slowness
in preventing and dealing with acts of corruption in
ASEAN countries has shaken political stability,
domestic security, and development.
Democracy in ASEAN countries is tailored to
the needs of each country. They are considering that
ASEAN countries have different government
systems and economic systems. Of course, every
government policy has advantages and
disadvantages. In addition, the community also
functions as government social control. However,
the government, as the decision maker, has full
power to determine policy. So, democracy is not
flawed in a country, but the government needs to
limit the number of parties because the more parties
there are, the more budget is issued by the
government, which can affect the economic growth
rate. Democracy can also encourage better
institutions.
To improve global competitiveness, ASEAN
countries need to enhance the sub-indices and pillars
of competitiveness by adjusting the categories for
their countries' growth and development stages. The
government's role in increasing growth and
development, as well as community empowerment,
is vital to be maximized, especially by paying
attention to human and institutional capital, because
human and institutional resources are the main
factors to support other competitiveness factors,
especially on technological, environmental and
innovation aspects.
This research can be helpful as a
recommendation for increasing economic growth in
ASEAN countries. Nevertheless, this research is
inseparable from limitations. The limitation of this
study is that it has yet to analyze one by one how
variable independents affect economic growth. So
that further research is expected to use in-depth
analysis in each ASEAN country. In addition,
further research can also use a combination of
independent variables between economic and non-
economic factors, which affect economic growth
more.
References:
[1] G. Mangkoesubroto, Ekonomi Publik,
Ketiga. Yogyakarta: BPFE, 1993.
[2] ASEAN, “ASEAN Aims,” ASEAN, 2023.
https://asean.org/what-we-do/ (accessed Jan.
16, 2023).
[3] M. Fajar and Z. Azhar, “Indeks Persepsi
Korupsi Dan Pembangunan Manusia
Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Negara-
Negara Asia Tenggara,” J. Ecogen, vol. 1,
no. 3, p. 681, 2019, doi:
10.24036/jmpe.v1i3.5114.
[4] A. Haqiqi and H. Putra, “Korupsi Dan
Pertumbuhan Ekonomi,” J. REP (Riset Ekon.
Pembangunan), vol. 5, no. 2, pp. 154165,
2020, doi: 10.31002/rep.v5i2.2325.
[5] M. Fajar and Z. Azhar, “Indeks Persepsi
Korupsi dan Pembangunan Manusia
Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Negara-
Negara Asia Tenggara,” EcoGen, vol. 1, no.
3, pp. 681688, 2018, doi:
http://dx.doi.org/10.24036/Jmpe.v1l3.5114.
[6] N. Nairobi, N. R. Santi, and F. Y. Afif, “The
impact of the quality of democracy on the
economic growth of provinces in Indonesia,”
J. Gov. Account. Stud., vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 121
132, 2021, doi: 10.35912/jgas.v1i2.626.
[7] H. Doucouliagos and M. Ulubasoglu,
“Democracy and Economic Growth : A
Meta-Analysis,” Australia, 2006. doi:
Doucouliagos, Chris (Hristos) and
Ulubasoglu, Mehmet Ali, Democracy and
Economic Growth: A Meta-Analysis. Deakin
University School of Accounting, Economics
and Finance Working Paper Series No.
2006/04, Available at SSRN:
https://ssrn.com/abstract=1014333 or
http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1014333.
[8] S. P. Huntington, Political order in changing
societies. 1968. doi: 10.5771/0506-7286-
1970-2-257.
[9] W. Rajagukguk, “Daya Saing
(Competitiveness) Mendorong Pertumbuhan
Ekonomi Sebuah Negara : Studi Kasus
Negara Berkembang,” Universitas Kristen
Indonesia, 2018. [Online]. Available:
http://repository.uki.ac.id/533/
[10] T. S. Nababan, “Development Analysis of
Global Competitiveness Index of ASEAN-7
Countries and Its Relationship on Gross
Domestic Product,” Integr. J. Bus. Econ.,
vol. 3, no. 1, p. 1, 2019, doi:
10.33019/ijbe.v3i1.108.
[11] S. Sukirno, Makroekonomi: teori pengantar.
Jakarta: PT. Raja Grafindo Persada, 2016.
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on SYSTEMS
DOI: 10.37394/23202.2023.22.11
Heru Wahyudi, Widia Anggi Palupi
E-ISSN: 2224-2678
114
Volume 22, 2023
[12] L. Lamazi et al., “Pengaruh Pertumbuhan
Usaha Kecil Menengah (UKM) terhadap
Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Daerah (Studi di
Pemerintah Kota Batu),” J. Ilm. Ekon.
Pembang., vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 157172, 2020,
doi: 10.33395/juripol.v3i1.10491.
[13] R. N. Oktaviana and S. Wulandari, “Analisis
Kemudahan Berbisnis dan Tata Kelola
Perusahaan yang Baik di Indonesia dalam
Menciptakan Daya Saing Global,” Judicious,
vol. 3, no. 1, pp. 3548, 2022, doi:
10.37010/jdc.v3i1.698.
[14] N. N. Nastiti and F. M. Iqbal, “Strategi Dan
Tantangan : Rencana Pembangunan Sosial
Dan Ekonomi Nasional Pemerintah Laos
Tahun 2000-2020,” J. PIR Power Int.
Relations, vol. 3, no. 1, p. 54, 2018, doi:
10.22303/pir.3.1.2018.54-75.
[15] G. Kunjana, “Pertumbuhan Thailand
terendah dalam 3 tahun,” 2015.
https://investor.id/archive/pertumbuhan-
thailand-terendah-dalam-3-tahun (accessed
Nov. 29, 2022).
[16] W. W. Winarno, Analisis Ekonometrika dan
Statistika dengan EViews, 5th ed.
Yogyakarta: UPP STIM YKPN, 2017.
[17] Agus Widarjono, Ekonometrika Pengantar
dan Aplikasinya. Yogyakarta: UPP STIM
YKPN, 2018.
[18] J. Waluyo, “Analisis Hubungan Kausalitas
Antara Korupsi, Pertumbungan Ekonomi,
dan Kemiskinan: Suatu Studi Lintas
Negara,” Bul. Ekon., vol. 8, no. 2, pp. 159
170, 2010.
[19] C. E. Noviati, “Demokrasi dan Sistem
Pemerintahan,” J. Konstitusi, vol. 10, no. 2,
pp. 322, 2013.
[20] C. Suyastri, “Memahami kembali makna
demokrasi di era yang berubah,” 2020.
https://www.berazam.com/opini-32-2020-
10-06-memahami-kembali-makna-
demokrasi-di-era-yang-
Berubah.html#sthash.Nge5IbXi.dpbs
(accessed Nov. 29, 2022).
[21] Y. Dadgar, R. Nazari, and F. Fahimifar, “The
Impact of Global Competitiveness Index
(CGI) on Economic Growth in Iran and
Some Selected Countries,” OIDA Int. J.
Sustain. Dev., vol. 11, no. 12, pp. 5360,
2018.
Contribution of Individual Authors to the
Creation of a Scientific Article (Ghostwriting
Policy)
Heru Wahyudi made a research framework,
collected literature reviews proposed policy
recommendations. Widia Anggi Palupi collects,
processes research data, and writes the research.
Sources of Funding for Research Presented in a
Scientific Article or Scientific Article Itself
The research in this manuscript is supported by
Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian kepada
Masyarakat (LPPM) Universitas Lampung.
Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0
(Attribution 4.0 International, CC BY 4.0)
This article is published under the terms of the
Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.en
_US
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on SYSTEMS
DOI: 10.37394/23202.2023.22.11
Heru Wahyudi, Widia Anggi Palupi
E-ISSN: 2224-2678
115
Volume 22, 2023
Conflict of Interest
The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare
that are relevant to the content of this article.