Analysis of Legal Risk in Farms of Intensive Chicken Production -
The Case of Kosovo
AGIM NDREGJONI
Faculty of Business,
“Aleksander Moisiu” University Durrës,
ALBANIA
ARIF MURRJA
Faculty of Economics and Agribusiness,
Agricultural University of Tirana,
ORCID: 0000-0002-6794-8782,
ALBANIA
LLAMBI PRENDI
Faculty of Business,
“Aleksander Moisiu” University Durrës,
ALBANIA
Abstract: - The intensive poultry industry in Kosovo fulfills a significant portion of the local demand for eggs.
Considering this context, the sustainable development of this industry necessitates specific attention due to
potential risks and threats. This paper aims to identify and evaluate legal risk events associated with the
industry. We created a questionnaire with eight questions, using information from previous research and
considering the actual conditions of the intensive poultry industry in Kosovo. Through face-to-face interviews
with farmers and agricultural economists, we empirically assessed the likelihood and impact of each legal risk
event. We set using a Likert scale ranging from 1 (very low) to 5 (very high). Both qualitative and quantitative
methods were employed to evaluate the risk level of each event. The qualitative analysis and interpretation of
the results emphasized the risk factors, which were categorized based on severity. The findings indicate that
two events exhibit a mouse-like level of aggressiveness; one mirrors the aggressiveness of a rabbit, another
resembles that of a shark, and four display the hostility of a lion. The quantitative analysis and interpretation of
the results revealed a relatively high distribution of 75%, with a standard deviation of 9,608 euros and a
considerably high coefficient of variation (95%) if these events were to occur. To mitigate the adverse impact
of legal risk events, we recommend that farmers seek additional information and consult with professionals
such as economists, veterinarians, animal husbandry experts, and lawyers.
Key-Words: - Risk, legal/law, probability, qualitative and quantitative evaluation, matrix, Kosovo.
Received: January 24, 2023. Revised: May 14, 2023. Accepted: June 12, 2023. Published: July 6, 2023.
1 Introduction
Thanks to its geographical position, number of
sunny days, fertile soil, [1], [2], [3], road
infrastructure, suitable market, and consumer
culture, Kosovo has a consolidated industry in egg
production, [2]. Eggs are an essential food product
and traditional food with the highest consumption in
Kosovo, [4]. Currently, producers in Kosovo
operate in a functional market and meet domestic
consumption requirements for eggs. Unlike the
situation with eggs, the chicken meat sector is under
development, the satisfaction of consumer needs is
low, and imported products dominate the market.
Investments in the construction of farms,
slaughterhouses, and meat processing companies in
this sector will increase production. They will
gradually replace the need for imports. The
development of intensive farms for the production
of eggs and meat has a relatively short history in
Kosovo (the last two decades), [2], [5].
The Republic of Kosovo is part of the Western
Balkans in Europe. Currently, “Western Balkans” is
a political term that refers to the countries that are
located in the Balkans but have not yet been
integrated into the European Union (EU), [6]. These
countries are Albania (AL), Kosovo (KS), Bosnia
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and Herzegovina (BIH), Montenegro (ME), Serbia
(SB), and North Macedonia (MNK), [7], [8], [9],
[10], [11], [12], [13], [14], [15]. Despite being
situated in the Western Balkan, Croatia is typically
not classified in that group due to its membership in
the European Union (EU). Our research focuses on
Kosovo, which has an area of 10,908 km², divided
into seven regions and 1,798,188 inhabitants, [2],
[16], [17], [18]. A map of Kosovo is presented in
Figure 1.
Fig. 1: Map of the Republic of Kosovo
The production is oriented only to the
production of eggs. Consumption is 206 eggs per
year per resident. Eggs produced in Kosovo meet
99% of consumer needs. In recent years, the
production of chicken meat has started.
Domestically produced flesh covers 7.1% of
consumption needs. The number of birds in 2020
has increased by 4.4% compared to 2021, [2], [5],
[16], [17], [18].
The cost of egg production is higher compared
to other countries because the size of the farm is
small, and the technology is old. The average output
per head is about 295 eggs per year. The average
price of eggs varies from 3.59 euros/pack to 4.19
euros/pack (the pack contains 30 eggs). Variable
expenses account for 81% of total revenue.
Regarding payments, a significant % of our budget,
70%, is allocated toward purchasing feed for our
broiler chickens.
We allocate 23% of our budget towards
purchasing 18-week-old birds. It's crucial to
efficiently manage these expenses to maintain the
success and longevity of our operation. The
remaining expenses include municipal, veterinary,
slaughterhouse fees, packaging, and delivery costs.
These additional expenses make up only 4% of the
total income. In 2013 somebody introduced an
initiative to offer subsidies to the poultry industry.
The amount of payment a farm receives depends on
the number of chickens they have. Farms with 2,400
to 10,000 chickens receive a donation of €0.50 per
head. Farms with 10,000 to 20,000 chickens receive
€0.40 per head, while those with over 20,000
chickens receive €0.30 per head, [2], [5], [16], [17],
[18].
Legal risk events in the poultry sector are
numerous. There is no similar research. Previous
research analyzes the cost of egg production, [5],
[19], various diseases, [20], [21], [22], and the use
of antibiotics in chicken feed, [23]. In the poultry
sector in Kosovo, research has been done on
production risk, [16], market risk, [17], financial
risk, [18], and human resources risk, [2].
This paper focuses on the identification and
qualitative and quantitative assessment of legal risk
in intensive chicken farms. The research results will
help farmers recognize the levels of risk and the
aggressiveness of legal risk events. Also, this study
aims to recommend to the farmer the means or
strategies for coping with legal risk events.
2 Literature Review
Farmers' daily activities have legal implications,
[24], particularly in fulfilling business agreements
and contracts. Please comply with these agreements
to avoid significant costs associated with legal risks.
Another primary source of legal trouble is legal
wrongdoing - causing harm to another person or
damage to property due to negligence, [25]. Legal
risks underlie all other types of hazards. Production
practices must comply with environmental laws;
otherwise, it leads to significant penalties. Most
marketing and financial decisions are subject to
contract law, and the inability to meet legal
standards leads to disputes that have disadvantages,
[26]. Farmers must also meet legal obligations
regarding paying taxes, workers' salaries, pension
insurance, health insurance, and occupational safety
requirements. Behavioral and communication
responsibility is another important source of legal
risk. Accidents resulting in injury or death of
farmworkers severely impact farm activity.
Meanwhile, one of the problems of legal risk is
institutional risk, which includes uncertainties about
government policies / adverse changes, [27], [28].
Finally, legal risk is closely related to environmental
responsibility, water quality concerns, erosion,
pesticide use, [25], and food safety, [29]. Legal risk
management has a significant impact on the success
and longevity of the farm.
Farm risks fall into five main categories:
production risk, market risk, financial risk,
legal/institutional risk, and human resource risk, [2],
[16], [17], [18] [24], [25], [26], [28], [29], [30],
[31], [32], [33], [34], [35], [36], [37], [38], [39],
[40], [41], [42]. The five primary sources of risk
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(the five significant risks) of the farm are otherwise
called, [25].
Figure 2 illustrates the conceptual framework of the
research. Our team drew from the works of multiple
authors along with various international risk
management standards, [2], [16], [17], [18], [32],
[33], [34], [43], [44], [45], [46], and tailored them to
fit our research.
1)
Theoretical framework
-How is the literature
searched?
-Literature review
2) Research questions
-Seven research
questions
3) Data sample
-Champion reliability
4)
Risk identification techniques
-List of all risk events
-Dynamic analysis
-Empirical analysis
5) Psychometric analysis of legal risk
Risk matrix
6) Communication of legal risks
Qualitative evaluation
-Probability measurement
-Consequence measurement
Quantitative evaluation
-Interval width
-Depression
-Standard deviations
-Coefficient of variation
7) Responds to
legal risk
FIVE
MAJOR
FARM
RISKS
I. Production
risk
III. Financial
risk
II. Market risk
V. Human
resourse risk
IV. Legal risk
Fig. 2: Conceptual framework of the study
Source: Adopted to our study from [2], [16], [17], [18]
This study addresses the following research
questions:
RQ1: Out of eight legal risk events, how many
are low- and low-risk factors? (or have the
aggressiveness of a mouse).
RQ2: Out of eight legal risk events, how many
are average risk factors? (or have the aggressiveness
of a rabbit).
RQ3: Out of eight legal risk events, how many
are high-risk factors? (or have the aggressiveness of
a shark).
RQ4: Out of eight legal risk events, how many
are high-risk factors? (or have the aggressiveness of
a lion).
RQ5: Is the perceived risk more significant than
the anticipated financial gain?
RQ6: What is the dispersion of the predicted
bulls?
RQ7: What is the standard deviation of the
predicted damages?
2.1 Research on the Risk of Poultry in
Kosovo
From the empirical analysis of the types of
production risk, market risk, financial risk, and
human risk in farms of intensive growth of chickens
for egg production in Kosovo, the following
conclusions have been reached, [2], [16], [17], [18]:
For production risk: 17 production risk events
were analyzed empirically. Of these events: 2 events
(Rp2-Low temperatures up to -200C, Rp17-Damage of
production during transportation) are a low or very
low-risk factor or have mouse aggressiveness; 12
events (Rp3-Fire, Rp5-Pests, Rp7-Covid-19
pandemics, Rp8-Production bio-chemical damage,
Rp9-Production damage from human resource
incompetence, Rp10-Uncertainty in the use of
medications, Rp11-Workforce poor health, age, and
wellbeing, Rp12-Production theft, Rp13-Poor quality
of the production, Rp14- Damage of the production
growth and storage process, Rp15-Breakdown in the
use of machinery and equipment, Rp16- Breakdown
due to electrical power outage) is an average risk
factor or have the aggressiveness of a rabbit; 3
events (Rp1-High temperatures up to 350C, Rp4-
Lightning, Rp6-Poultry diseases) are a high-risk
factor or have the hostility of a shark; and no very
high-risk event results, [16].
For market risk: Empirical analysis was
conducted on seven market risk events. Of these
events: 2 events (Rm2- packaging standards, Rm7-
failure to record income and expenses) are a
low/very low-risk factor or have mouse
aggressiveness; 2 events (Rm3-Competition, Rm5-
Reduction of consumer revenues) are an average
risk factor or have the hostility of a rabbit; 1 event
(Rm6- Applying 100% tax to Serbian, and Bosnian
goods is a high-risk factor or has the aggressiveness
of a shark, and one event (Rm1- Price
fluctuation/price declining) is a very high-risk factor
or has the hostility of a lion, [17].
For financial risk: 9 financial risk events were
empirically analyzed. Of these events: 3 events (Rf7-
Currency exchange rate, Rf9- Inflation, Rf8-
Economic decline) are a low or deficient risk factor
or have mouse aggressiveness; 2 events (Rf6- Failure
to forecast production, Rf5- High expenses for the
family); 1 event (Rf4- High cost of debt) is a high-
risk factor or has the aggressiveness of a shark; and
three events (Rf2- Low profits, Rf1- Lack of liquidity,
Rf3- High prices of production factors) is a high-risk
factor or has the aggressiveness of a shark; and three
events, [18].
For the risk of human resources: 9 risk events
were empirically analyzed. Of these events: 2 events
(Rh9- Accidents of employees at work, Rh6-
Environmental pollution) are a low or very low-risk
factor or have mouse aggressiveness; 4 events (Rh1-
Managerial incompetence of the farm owner, Rh4-
Displacement of family members from the farm,
Rh5- Professional incompetence of employees in
agriculture, Rh7- Failure to train employees) are an
average risk factor or have the aggressiveness of a
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rabbit; 2 events (Rh2- Premature death of the farm
owner, Rh3- Divorce in the family) are a high-risk
factor or have the aggressiveness of the shark; 1
event (Rh8- Lack of legal provisions knowledge) it is
a very high-risk factor, or they have the hostility of
a lion, [2].
2.2 Research on the Risk of Poultry in the
World
Poultry farmers finance the farm activity
themselves. Financial institutions see the farm
business in the poultry field as high risk because
they have high mortality and low production, [47],
[48]. In addition to financial factors, obstacles in
raising poultry for production are human resources,
production factors, marketing, and technology, [49].
Economic risk consists of input price fluctuations,
output price fluctuations, and input unavailability.
Production risk is associated with poor yields due to
bad weather, disease outbreaks, insufficient and
untimely supplies of inputs, adequate credit, and
lack of processing technology, [50]. Financing
agricultural operations with debt can expose farmers
to financial risk when expenses exceed income
resulting in a financial deficit, [51]. Extensive
research has shown that financial risk is a highly
significant risk category within the poultry industry,
[18], [50], [52], [53], [54], [55]. Financial risk is an
essential barrier to farm entrepreneurship
development, [56], [57]. Covid 19 hurt the poultry
production industry. The closing of restaurants
reduced the demand for poultry products. Avian
influenza outbreaks have negative financial impacts,
[58], [59].
3 Materials and Methods
The study employed a combination of both
qualitative and quantitative methods. Many
researchers consider this combination practical and
logical, requiring experience, knowledge, and
creativity. The research findings are grounded in
empirical data cited in sources, [60], [61], [62]. The
same methodology was used in studies of
production risk, market risk, financial risk, and
human resources risk in the intensive poultry
industry in Kosovo, [2], [16], [17], [18]. Qualitative
risk assessment aims to provide knowledge about
the levels and aggressiveness of legal risk events,
[2], [16], [17], [18], [63]. Quantitative evaluation
aims to measure the dispersion and standard
deviation of the financial bull, [2], [16], [17], [18],
[63], [64], [65].
To find the literature on which we base our
search, we used these phrases: Farm/agricultural
risk management, Qualitative assessment of legal
risk on the farm, Quantitative assessment of legal
trouble on the farm, Qualitative evaluation method,
Quantitative evaluation method, Qualitative and
quantitative evaluation method, Farm/agriculture
risk analysis, [2], [16], [17], [18], [66].
3.1 Data Sample
In our research, we utilized primary data. Out of 160
farms throughout Kosovo, [2], [18], we have
conducted surveys with 33 of them. The survey was
conducted in 7 regions of Kosovo (Table 1). To
measure the reliability of our caption, we used the
following formulas, [67].
nS
x
t/
where
n
S
tx
µ - Average population data; x Average choice
(5.5); t Confidence level (1-α) = 0.95 and safety α
= 0.05, where value Zα = 1.96; S The variance of
choice (3,26); n Sample size (33).
Table 1 presents the calculations of the
reliability components of the sample.
Table 1. Estimation of the sample confidence level
From the calculations, S2=63.8/6 =10.63. And
choosing the confidence level (1-α) = 0.95, we get:
in which variance with the distribution farmer t with
(n - 1) degrees of freedom is such that the value t(n-
1;0.05) satisfies the condition that the integral if (t;
n-1) between t(n - 1;0.05) and t(n-1;0.05) is 0.95.
In our study, we have 0.95 = probability [5.5 - 0.95
(3.26/5.74)] ≤ µ ≤ [5.5 + 0.95 (3.26/5.74)]. Thus, we
get 4.96 ≤ µ≤ 6.04, [2], [19], [17], [18].
3.2 Legal Risk Identification Techniques
Region
xi
x
(xi -
x
)
(xi -
x
)2
Ferizaj
2
5.5
(3.5)
12.3
Gjakova
8
5.5
2.5
6.3
Gjilan
5
5.5
(0.5)
0.3
Mitrovica
2
5.5
(3.5)
12.3
Peja
3
5.5
(2.5)
6.3
Prishtina
10
5.5
4.5
20.3
Prizren
3
5.5
(2.5)
6.3
No. of regions = 7
n=33
6
∑(xi-
x
)2 =
63,8
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Identification of risk events in business is one of the
stages of the risk management process, [2], [16],
[17], [18], [42]. In this process, it is essential to
understand the risk sources and event selection
techniques, [61], [68], [69], [70], [71]. First, we
have listed all types of legal risks. Then a survey
was conducted, where the farmers selected the eight
legal risk events. A list of all legal risks has been
made based on event dynamics and empirical
analysis (reliance on practice and experience),
(Table 3). We identified nine events that could lead
to legal risk. However, we only analysed eight of
them because the “Farm Owner Offense” event had
no impact, according to the surveys conducted with
farmers, with zero probability and consequence.
3.3 Legal Risk Analysis
The term risk is complex. The two measures of risk
are probability and consequence. Their combination
evaluates the risk in quantitative terms, [34], [71],
[72]. In risk level assessments, the 5-point Likert
scale method is known, [62], [73], [74], [75]. In
Figure 3 and Figure 4, you can find risk matrices
that show the likelihood and potential impact of
legal risks. The accompanying Table 2 and Table 3
provide further details and qualitative evaluations of
these events.
Table 2. Generic description and empirical
assessment (in numbers, words, and colors) of the
event probability, [2], [16], [17], [18].
Possibility
of event
occurrence
Freq.
Sc.
(P)
Color
ratin
g
Event
occurrence
almost
impossible
(1%)
1 time
1
Very
low
Gree
n
Rare event
occurrence
(2%)
2-10
times
2
Low
Light
green
Possible
event
occurrence
(3-9%)
11-30
times
3
Avera
ge
Yello
w
Frequent
event
occurrence
(10-39%)
31-40
times
4
High
Oran
ge
Almost
certain event
occurrences
(by 40%)
Over
41
times
5
Very
high
Red
Table 3. Generic description and qualitative
assessment (in numbers, words, and colors) of the
event consequences, [2], [16], [17], [18].
Consequence
description
Value of
damage
Scale
Conseq.
Color
rating
Very low
consequence
Up to
1,150€
(1-3)
Very
low
Green
Low
consequence
1,151€ -
2,300 €
(4-6)
Low
Light
green
Average
consequence
2,301€ -
10,150 €
(7-9)
Average
Yellow
High
consequence
10,151€-
44,000
(10-
12)
High
Orange
Very high
consequence
Over
44,000€
(13-
15)
Very
high
Red
Questionnaire design: The questionnaire consists of
two parts, each containing eight open-ended
questions. To begin, we need to evaluate the
probability of the event empirically. The second part
requires a practical assessment of the event's
consequences. Then the combination of the
likelihood and impact of the event is done. This
combination determines the risk factor for each
event.
The conversion of concepts into measurable
variables for the study was carried out according to
the following Table 4, [2].
Tabela 4. Conversion of concepts into study
variables
First section/Qualitative assessment
Second section/
quantitative
assessment
Vari
able
Qualitative
measurement
method
Likert
scale
RF
Quantitative
measurement
method
Legal
risk event
Probability (P)
(1)
Very
low
RF = P*C
1 time
Frequency
in 5 years
(2) Low
2-10 times
(3)
Average
11-30
times
(4)
High
31-40
times
(5)
Very
high
Over
41 times
Consequence (C)
(1)
Very
low
Up to
€1,150
Value of damage
(2) Low
€1,151 –
€2,300
(3)
Average
€2,301 -
€10,150
(4)
High
€10,151 -
€44,000
(5)
Very
high
Over
€44,000
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3.3.1 Empirical (Qualitative) Assessment of Legal
Risk
We have coded the risk factors in the matrix. The
coding of risk factors is the nominal assessment of
risk, [76], [77], [78]. Table 5 presents the coding of
risk factors using their respective symbols.
Table 5. Nominal assessment of legal risk events
(placement of codes or symbols)
Legal risk events
Symbol
1
The failure of the farm owner to meet
their financial responsibilities is
considered negligent and irresponsible.
RL1
2
If clients, customers, or rental properties
do not follow the agreements or
contracts, non-compliance will occur.
RL2
3
Court cases.
RL3
4
They need to meet the instructions for
using nutrients and keeping proper
records.
RL4
5
Not following laws related to food safety
can lead to failures.
RL5
6
Lack of information.
RL6
7
Lack of consultation with experts
(lawyers, economists, veterinarians,
zootechnicians.
RL7
8
I have a limited amount of time to study.
RL8
Source: Authors' elaboration
Risk matrix: One of the simplest ways to illustrate
the risk factor is the matrix. The use of the risk
matrix is an essential risk management tool, [2],
[16], [17], [18], [42], [71]. Figure 3 presents the risk
according to levels (from 1 to 5) and illustrates the
aggressiveness of the risk, [2], [16], [17], [18].
The impact
Very
high
(5)
High
(4)
Average
(3)
Low
(2)
Very
low
(1)
Very
low
(1)
Very
low
(2)
Averag
e
(3)
High
(4)
Very
high
(5)
Likely
Fig. 3: Matrix of qualitative risk levels
3.3.2 Quantitative Estimation of Legal Risk
There are many statistical risk measures. In our
research, we used: interval width, dispersion,
standard deviation, and coefficient of variation, [2],
[16], [17], [18], [79], [80]. These measurements are
called variable measurements. The calculation
formulas are:
1. Interval width: Iwidth = Xmax Xmin;
2. Dispersion (the extent to which values of a
variable differ from a fixed value such as
the mean): D2 = Σ (xi -x)2/n-1;
3. Standard deviation;
4. Coefficient of Variation Cv = (D/ x).
3.4 Legal Risk Communication
The purpose of our research is very dimensional. In
addition to identification, quality assessment is also
the communication of recommendations to
stakeholders. The results and requests are
prioritized: first to the farmers, second to the central
and local governments, and third to the researchers
in the field. Communication of results should
provide information for better decision-making, [2],
[16], [17], [18], [81], [82].
4 Analysis, Results and Discussion
4.1 Empirical Assessment of Legal Risk
Table 6 reflects the qualitative statements according
to empirical reviews of probability and
consequence; and quantitative data. The primary
data present the average value of the financial loss
in euros for the last five years.
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Table 6. Combined probability assessment with the
consequence (risk factor) and damage values in
euros for each event
Risk
code
Legal risk
events
(P)
(C)
(RF)
Damage
value
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)=3*4
(6)
RL1
The failure of the
farm owner to
meet their financial
responsibilities is
considered
negligent and
irresponsible.
4
12
48
27,500
RL2
If clients,
customers, or
rental properties do
not follow the
agreements or
contracts, non-
compliance will
occur.
2
2
4
2,500
RL3
Court cases.
1
12
12
5,500
RL4
They need to meet
the instructions for
using nutrients and
keeping proper
records.
3
3
9
6,000
RL5
Not following laws
related to food
safety can lead to
failures.
1
4
4
500
RL6
Lack of
information.
4
10
40
10,000
RL7
Lack of
consultation with
experts (lawyers,
economists,
veterinarians,
zootechnicians,
etc).
4
11
44
25,000
RL8
I have a limited
amount of time to
study.
4
12
48
5,000
Source: Authors' elaboration
Farmers' perception does not follow the trend of
damages for all legal risk events, which means we
have inconsistencies between them.
Consequence
Very
high
(13-15)
High
(10-12)
RL1;RL8
RL3
RL7
RL6
Avarge
(7-9)
Low (4-
6)
RL5
Very
Low (1-
3)
RL4
RL2
Legal Risks on
intensive
growth farms
in Kosovo
Very
Low
Low
Average
High
Very
High
1
2
3
4
5
Probability
Fig. 4: Legal risk analysis matrix
Source: Authors' elaboration
From the legal risk matrix analysis in Figure 4,
we find that for the eight legal risk events, the
farmers' perceptions are:
Four events are very high-risk factors.
One event is a high-risk factor.
One event is a medium risk factor.
Two events are low-risk factors.
4.2 Quantitative Legal Risk Assessment
Analysis
Table 7 shows the calculation of the Dispersion
(D2), Standard Deviation (D), and Coefficient of
Variation (Cv) components.
Table 7. Calculation of statistical measures of legal
risk events (EUR)
n
xi
x
(xi-
x
)
(xi-
x
)2
1
27,500
10,250
17,250
297,562,500
2
2,500
10,250
(7,750)
60,062,500
3
5,500
10,250
(4,750)
22,562,500
4
6,000
10,250
(4,250)
18,062,500
5
500
10,250
(9,750)
95,062,500
6
10,000
10,250
(250)
62,500
7
25,000
10,250
14,750
217,562,500
8
5,000
10,250
(5,250)
27,562,500
Interval width (Iwidth)
27,000
Dispersion (D2)
75%
Standard deviation (D)
9,608
Coefficient of Variation (Cv)
94%
Source: Authors' elaboration
The financial impact of legal risk events can
vary greatly, with a range of €27,000 and an average
standard deviation of €9,608. The evaluation
considers the different categories listed in Table 3
and considers the standard deviation and dispersion.
Additionally, the coefficient of variation is high at
94%.
Fig. 5: Dispersion of damage from legal risk events
Source: Authors' elaboration
The distribution of the value of damages is over
500 and under 2,500, which includes 75% (6/8)
0
5.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
30.000
12345678
The value of legal damagele
Number of events studied
Legal damages of
events
Average legal
damage
Average plus
Standard
deviation
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of the total surveys taken in the study (See Figure
5).
5 Conclusions
5.1 From the Analysis, Results, and
Discussions, we Come to the Following
Conclusions
RL1- The negligence or irresponsibility of the farm
owner in paying the financial obligations is a very
high-risk factor. They explain the inability to pay
due to a lack of liquidity. Non-payment increases
the cost of financial obligations as the interest
burden increases. When laws related to taxes and
fees are not applied, the issue usually ends up in
court. Regrettably, this often results in a financial
loss.
RL2- Non-compliance with agreements or
contracts (clients, clients, and rents), the risk factor
is low. Non-compliance with customer requirements
is uncommon but can occur when inaccurate
production forecasts occur.
RL3- In various court cases, the risk factor is
high. Litigation is mainly about delays in paying
fiscal obligations. In addition to interest on arrears,
farmers also pay court costs.
RL4- The average risk factor is failing to follow
the instructions for using nutrients and keeping
proper records. Farmers do not consult a master
technician for drafting food rations.
RL5- Non-implementation of legal provisions on
food safety is a low-risk factor associated with very
little financial damage. There is opposition between
RL5 and RL4, but currently, there are no identified
safety issues with production.
RL6- Lack of information is a very high-risk
factor. Farmers are not receiving updated
information from the Ministry of Agriculture,
Forestry and Rural Development or other private
and public institutions such as institutes and
universities' information bulletins.
RL7- Failure to consult with experts (lawyers,
economists, veterinarians, technicians) is a very
high-risk factor. Farmers do not consult with experts
in the field. They manage the farm solely based on
their experience.
RL8- Limited time to study is a significant risk
factor, as mentioned in RL6, where the individual
expressed difficulty gathering information.
5.2 From the Quantitative Analysis of Legal
Risk, We Draw These Conclusions
According to empirical evaluation, legal risk factors
do not follow the claims trend. So the perception of
the farmers needs to follow the value of the
damages caused. The perception is related or
dependent on several variables, such as mode,
gender, farm size, family size, and others, [83].
Legal risk events have a considerable interval
width (27,000 = 27,500-500);
Relatively large dispersion to the extent of 75%;
According to Table 3, the moderate financial
consequence segment (€2,301-€10,150) includes an
average standard deviation of 9,608;
The coefficient of variation is high at 94%.
The forecast of the relative variation of losses
from the average of 10,250 results in minus or
plus 9,608, which means: in the case of good
management, losses from legal risks for the farm
may be minimal (€ 642); and in case of
mismanagement, losses from legal threats to the
farm may be high (€ 19,858).
6 Recommendations
Our research ensures that the farm's carrying
capacity is not exceeded, thus avoiding potential
risks. Accepting the threat beyond the carrying
capacity of the farm enterprise will make it
impossible to cover the losses, [84]. After the
analysis and conclusions, to help farmers in
successful decision-making, we inform and
recommend the following:
Events: (RL2-Non-compliance with
agreements or contracts (clients, clients, and
leases); RL5- Non-implementation of legal
provisions on food safety) are deficient risk
factors. The negative impacts of the two
events are negligible. They do not affect the
objectives of the enterprise. And the means
of their treatment is self-financing.
Event: (RL4-Failure to follow instructions
for using nutrients and keeping proper
records) are average risk factors. There is
fear and uncertainty. Farmers should consult
with experts (veterinarians, economists,
lawyers).
Event: (RL3-Various court cases) It is a
high-risk factor. Public and private
institutions should inform farmers.
Events: (RL1-Negligence or irresponsibility
of the farm owner in paying fiscal
obligations; RL6- Lack of information; RL7-
Do not consult with experts (advocate,
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Agim Ndregjoni, Arif Murrja, Llambi Prendi
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economist, veterinarian, technician); RL8-
Limited time to study) have a catastrophic
impact. They affect the objectives of the
enterprise. Farmers should review their
insurance policies, consult legal provisions,
and consider joining cooperatives for
guidance.
In conclusion, an important role is played by the
government or governments and mainly the line
ministry (Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and
Rural Development). Therefore, we sensitize the
political management in Kosovo in the future to
provide unique training programs for farmers,
especially for the issues raised in this study
regarding legal risks. The study shows that four
legal troubles, or 50% of the events included in the
analysis, have lion aggressiveness (very high-risk
factors). Their impact can have catastrophic
consequences for the enterprise of intensive
production on these farms.
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Contribution of Individual Authors to the
Creation of a Scientific Article (Ghostwriting
Policy)
The authors equally contributed in the present
research, at all stages from the formulation of the
problem to the final findings and solution.
Sources of Funding for Research Presented in a
Scientific Article or Scientific Article Itself
The authors have supported the project, but the
funding will come from Aleksander Moisiu”
University in Durres, Albania. To support scientific
research, the University finances publications in
SCOPUS.
Conflict of Interest
The authors have no conflict of interest to declare.
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(Attribution 4.0 International, CC BY 4.0)
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WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on ENVIRONMENT and DEVELOPMENT
DOI: 10.37394/232015.2023.19.64
Agim Ndregjoni, Arif Murrja, Llambi Prendi
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Volume 19, 2023