Underpricing in a Capital Market: Case of Latvia
IRINA SOLOVJOVA
Department of Finance and Accounting
University of Latvia
5 Aspazijas blvd, Riga, LV-1050
LATVIA
KONSTANTINS TALIKOVS
Electronics and Telecommunications faculty
Riga Technical University
12 Azenes str., Riga, LV-1048
LATVIA
LYDIA GOLUBEVA
Department of Finance and Accounting
University of Latvia
5 Aspazijas blvd, Riga, LV-1050
LATVIA
ANNA LITVINENKO
Electronics and Telecommunications faculty
Riga Technical University
12 Azenes str., Riga, LV-1048
LATVIA
RUTA SVĒTIŅA
Centre for Applied Linguistics
University of Latvia
5 Aspazijas blvd, Riga, LV-1050
LATVIA
Abstract: - The study is devoted to a little studied IPO underpricing problem. IPO underpricing is the difference
between the IPO offer price paid by institutional and individual investors who commit to buying shares before
trading on the Stock Exchange and the closing price, which is the last trading price recorded when the market
closes at the end of the day. This price difference shows the extent to which the company did not value itself
and how much capital it did not make due to the too low offer price. By assessing the price difference and
multiplying it by the number of shares issued in public turnover on the Stock Exchange, the company can
calculate exactly how much capital it could additionally invest in financing growth and business development,
which in the long term would also create added value to the entire national economy. The aim of the study is to
research the problem of underpricing in the Baltic capital market.
Key-Words: - underpricing, IPO, offer price, closing price
Received: April 29, 2021. Revised: January 21, 2022. Accepted: February 1, 2022. Published: February 18, 2022.
1 Introduction
Stock market financing opportunities in Latvia and
the Baltics as a whole are still not being fully
realized and used, although interest and demand
from potential investors are growing. However,
there is insufficient state action to consistently
stimulate the development of the securities market,
both at political and economic level.
The development of capital and securities
markets allows for diversification of the institutional
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structure of lending by increasing the flow of
financial capital between investors and issuers of
securities and improving the circulation and rate of
return of financial capital in the economy as a
whole. An active financial market environment
opens up a wide range of possibilities for more
efficient and dynamic use of savings, which is
particularly relevant in the context of low interest
rates for different categories of investors. For
entrepreneurs, it diversifies the forms and
possibilities of attracting external financing.
Problems related to the stock market have been
actively researched, but there is an aspect that was
not previously given so much attention by
researchers - IPO underpricing. The aim of the study
is to investigate the problem of underpricing in the
Baltic capital market.
The course of the study uses the content analysis
method, as well as econometric, statistical analysis
and graphical display methods are used.
2 Problem Formulation
Financial analysts and scientists around the world
have been studying the phenomenon of IPO
underpricing for several years. IPO underpricing is
the difference between the offer price and the
closing price of an IPO offer. The offer price is what
institutional and individual investors pay when they
commit to buying shares before trading on the Stock
Exchange. Closing price is the last trading price
recorded when the market closes at the end of the
day. If, at the close of the first day of trading, the
share price is higher than the offer price, it means
that investors were willing to pay more for the
shares of the companies, and this difference,
multiplied by the number of shares issued, is the
unearned capital, which is called "money left on the
table" in English.
2.1 Pricing Models
Selection of the cooperation partner (financial
intermediary) that will provide qualitative assistance
in the process of initial placement of shares is very
important. A financial intermediary may issue
securities for consideration or guarantee the
placement of a shares, or underwriting. Companies
prevail over the latter option, because the process of
issuing shares is complicated and lengthy, to carry it
out on their own without experience will require an
extremely large consumption of time and strength.
Guaranteed placement (underwriting) means that the
financial intermediary undertakes not only to place
shares on the primary market, but also to provide the
issuer with a guarantee of receiving a certain
amount of money for the entire issue of the shares
[1]. Consequently, the company is less at risk when
using the underwriter's service. At the same time,
cooperation with intermediaries is an additional cost
that must be taken into account when planning the
costs of the process. It is considered that, out of all
the costs associated with the issue of shares, the
investment bank's support and assistance is the most
expensive service, which could cost between 3.5%
and 7% of the capital raised in the IPO [2].
Extensive experience with IPOs is a very valuable
advantage of a financial market intermediary among
other providers of such services. The better the
reputation of the company's consultant for organized
public offers in a particular industry, the more likely
the company is to successfully implement the IPO.
In addition, empirical studies that analyzed the
economic role of intermediaries in the IPO process
found evidence that financial advisers with better
reputation are able to value and sell shares of
companies at the highest price [3]. The sale price of
the shares, in turn, determines how much capital the
company will be able to receive from a realized
IPO. In the context of the study, a very important
aspect relates to the pricing of which the company
plans to sell its shares. The intermediary must assess
the enterprise in order to be able to determine the
range of the share price (minimum and maximum
price) at which it will be offered to investors. The
process of setting the share price is complex and
very serious. The intermediary should not make
mistakes and underestimate the company, because
then less capital will be received for the
development of the company. Nor should a too high
price be set, which in turn will lead to too low
demand for shares by investors and an IPO may fail.
There are several approaches in which an
intermediary usually assesses a company before
setting an offer price, but one of the three methods
is most often used: the method of comparing market
data, the discounted cash flow method, the method
of discounting dividends [4].
The comparable company method is the most
understandable and familiar approach to
determining the value of a company's shares.
According to this method, several financial and
performance indicators or multipliers (comparative
indicators) of the company are compared with
another similar company of the relevant sector on
the market, the shares of which are listed on the
Stock Exchange. Thus, knowing what price
investors are willing to pay for shares of similar
companies already active, it is possible to determine
the market value of the company being valued.
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Once the comparable companies are selected,
calculations can be made using equity and company
value multipliers (P/E price earnings ratio, P/CF
price cash flow ratio, P/BV price-to-book ratio, P/S
price to sales ratio, EV/Sales enterprise value-to-
sales ratio, EV/EBITDA enterprise value to earnings
before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization,
etc.).
The discounted cash flow method is a widely
used approach based on discounting forecast cash
flows at the investor's expected rate of return
(discount rate). In practice, this method often has
limited use, as it can be difficult to determine future
cash flows and an accurate discount rate. The free
cash flow used in the discounted cash flow method
that the company has at its disposal at the end of the
financial year is calculated on the basis of the
information presented in the company`s financial
statements.
The dividend discounting model determines the
value of the company by calculating the present
value of the expected future dividends that the
company will pay to its shareholders. Most often,
investment banks use this model when assessing
stable and profitable companies that regularly pay
dividends. This is due to the fact that it is relatively
difficult to forecast dividends for new companies for
which historical data are not available [5].
The results of the researches lead to the
conclusion that intermediaries usually choose to
apply several approaches to determining the value
of the company set at the same time [5]. It should
also be taken into account that the market value of
the enterprise is determined not only by financial,
but also by non- financial indicators, which provide
a high added value to the enterprise. Innovations,
customer and employee relationships, technologies,
brand value, human capital, corporate governance,
etc. are defined as non-financial indicators [6, 22].
Once the intermediary has assessed the company, he
discusses the price range of the IPO offer with the
company's management, which will later be
included in the issue prospectus. However, it should
be noted that after meetings with institutional
investors, price update is possible.
2.2 Underpricing Aspects
A correctly determined price is crucial in the IPO
process. But there are many examples where the
price was set incorrectly. Zoom began trading the
shares on April 18, 2019 on the Nasdaq exchange.
The company's share offer price was set at $36 per
share. A total of 20,869,565 shares were put into
circulation. Multiplying the offer price by the
number of shares in a public circulation, Zoom has
raised $584.3 million (see Fig. 1).
Fig. 1: Initial public offer of "Zoom Video
Communications Inc"
On the first day of trading, however, the share
price soared and the day ends at a price of 62 dollars
per share. This means that the investment bank that
helped Zoom launch the stock issue underestimated
the company, resulting in it not getting nearly as
much as it raised $542.6 million, that is
multiplication of the closing price by the number of
shares. According to mathematical calculations, the
total underpricing amounted to 72.2% [7].
The underpricing aspect attracted a lot of
attention in almost all countries of the world,
although most often it was studied in the United
States (USA), which is the leader in the number of
IPOs. Professor Jay R. Ritter from University of
Florida has published a number of studies related to
the IPO [7], which also focused on underpricing
aspects. The professor's blog on the university
internet site provides statistical data on the average
underpricing rate in 54 countries around the world
[8]. The number of IPOs analyzed varies greatly
across countries and the largest number of IPOs was
researched in the USA, where this number reached
13,490 companies. Average underpricing or average
initial return varies considerably from country to
country, starting at 3.3% in Russia, reaching up to
270.1% in the United Arab Emirates (UAE).
Undoubtedly, the results obtained in UAE could be
influenced by a small number of companies, which
amounted to only 24 companies. Among the
countries with a sample of several thousand
companies Australia, China, Hong Kong, India,
Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Great Britain and the USA,
the distribution of underpricing is also significant,
starting with better or lower results in the UK
(15.7%), the USA (17.2%) and Australia (19.8%),
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reaching up to 170.2% in China, which is exactly 10
times more than in the USA.
As mentioned above, the intermediary is
responsible for calculating the value of the company
and determining the offer price. Thus, the amount of
capital that the company will receive depends on the
decisions taken by the intermediary. There exist
several studies on the phenomenon of underpricing
affecting companies which are issuing shares [9, 10,
11, 12, 13, 14, 15]. It is important to note that
theories are based on different aspects of the
relationship between investors, issuers and
investment banks. In the context of our research, we
will consider the theory of IPO underperformance
[16, 18, 21].
As soon as a company with stock trading enters
the Stock Exchange, its share price, which reflects
the value of the company, should not differ
significantly from the share price of similar
companies. Otherwise, investors will consider that
the shares are overvalued and the investment will
not be so profitable. However, at the end of the 20th
century, when the scientists began to study
empirically the profitability of IPO companies
compared to the performance of market indices or
similar companies, it was found that IPO companies
show lower yields. One of the first theories
developed by a professor at New Orleans
University, Edward M. Miller, states that investors
are willing to pay more for the company's shares
than they should because of an overly optimistic
mood. However, according to the IPO, investors
already have the opportunity to keep the track of the
company's progress. Seeing the real value of the
company, the optimistic mood of investors will
begin to decrease, so the share price will also fall to
the average value of the market. According to
research by American professor Jay R. Ritter, this
happens within three years of the company's IPO. In
addition, Jay R. Ritter highlights as one of the IPO
phenomena the "hot IPO market", which has already
been mentioned at the motivation of companies to
conduct IPOs. At a time of market growth, a so-
called "a window of opportunity" period is created,
when the company's management knows that their
shares will be overvalued, thus being able to raise
more capital. So, as Edward Miller's theory says,
once the enthusiasm of investors drops, the
company's stock yields will also fall. Thus,
companies that carry out IPOs during the market
growth period will perform worse than similar
companies (analogous), since the subsequent
disclosures about financial indicators will force the
market to adjust the fair value of the company [15].
According to Jay R. Ritter's calculations of IPO
profitability between 1980 and 2019, after five years
IPO companies had 2.4% lower profitability than
the peer companies selected for comparison [16].
3 Problem Solution
3.1 IPO Underpricing in the Baltic States
The main purpose of the initial public offer is to
raise additional capital, it is important for the
company to determine the highest price for its
shares, at which investors would be happy to buy
them. Thus, the management of the company should
look at the trends of underpricing on a particular
Stock Exchange, especially by sector, in order to
understand what is the possible level of
underpricing that they should expect.
Within the framework of the research, the level
of underpricing is calculated for companies listed on
the Baltic Stock Exchange. For calculations, the
classic underpricing formula is used:
  


  (1), [17]
The difference between the offer price and the
closing price is subtracted from the yield of the
company's domestic Stock Exchange index on the
first day of trading in the stock in order to prevent
the impact of market volatility on the underpricing
level. Data on 17 companies that joined the Stock
Exchange between 2004 and 2020 and are currently
listed on the Baltic Stock market were used for the
study.
Table 1. Nasdaq Baltic market IPO companies
underpricing indicators over period 2004-2020, %
State
Company
name
Under-
pricing
(%)
Estonia
Saunum
Group
68.86
Estonia
Ekspress
Grupp
20.34
Latvia
MADARA
Cosmetics
15.83
Estonia
Tallinna
Vesi
14.62
Estonia
Tallinna
Sadam
13.49
Estonia
EfTEN Real
Estate Fund
12.77
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State
Company
name
Under-
pricing
(%)
Industry
III
Latvia
SAF
Tehnika
12.23
Telecommunic
a
tions
Latvia
HansaMatrix
10.49
Technology
Lithua
nia
Novaturas
9.32
Travel and
recreation
Estonia
Nordecon
6.92
Construction
and materials
Lithuan
ia
East West
Agro
4.74
Industrial
goods and
services
Lithuan
ia
Vilkyškių
pieninė
2.14
Food,
beverages and
tobacco
Estonia
Tallink
Grupp
0.70
Travel and
recreation
Lithuan
ia
Linas Agro
Group
0.35
Food,
beverages and
tobacco
Lithuan
ia
AUGA
group
-0.43
Food,
beverages and
tobacco
Lithuan
ia
Ignitis grupė
-1.08
Improvement
Estonia
Arco Vara
-2.95
Real estate
Source: Author's table based on Nasdaq Baltic data
With the highest underpricing rate 68.86% (see
Table 1), Saunum Group stands out, a company
listed on the First North alternative market from
2020. For institutional and private investors, its
shares were sold for 2.84 euros, but the first day of
trading ended with a price of 4.80 euros per share.
The share price more than doubled due to the
excessive demand. If the company's certified
consultant, summarizing the demand and wishes of
investors, raised the price, the company could get an
additional hundreds of thousands of euros for the
development of its business. The next company with
one of the higher underpricing rates 20.34%, is the
Estonian company Express Grupp. As in the case of
Saunum Group, the demand for Express Grupp
shares, both from institutional investors and
individual investors six times exceeded the number
of shares offered. For other companies with
underpricing rates between 15% and 10%, the
shares were also significantly underestimated, as a
result of which the company did not receive
additional investments. However, the lowest
underpricing of less than 10% is not so significant,
since a slight price increase on the first day of
trading is inevitable there are investors who did
not split the shares during the underwriting period,
but who want to buy them; so are investors who
want to earn by selling shares immediately. Less
rapid price increases on the first day of quotation
point to a fairer price, leading to more moderate
demand. The negative level of underpricing for the
last three companies in the table points to the
opposite situation, when the shares of the company
were overvalued and demand did not reach supply,
resulting in a fall in the share price on the first day.
It should be noted that the demand for shares can be
influenced not only by the company itself and its
indicators, but also by the global economic situation
and the overall mood of investors in the market.
The average underpricing rate in the Baltic States
is 11.08%, similar to European countries such as
Belgium (11%), Poland (11.7%) and Portugal
(11.5%). In turn, in Scandinavian countries the
trends of underpricing are slightly different, for
example, in Sweden it is as much as 25.9%, in
Finland 14.2%, while in Denmark it is already two
times lower 7.4%, while in Norway it is only 6.7%
[8]. Despite the fact that the average level of
underpricing in the Baltic States is not so high yet,
the situation could change dramatically after several
IPOs expected in the near future. Especially since a
good mood of investors is currently being observed
around the world and investors who are oriented
towards investments in the Baltic States are very
much looking forward to new and promising
companies on the Nasdaq Baltic market.
3.2 Assessment of Nasdaq Baltic's
performance indicators by IPO
Within the framework of the research, the IPO
underperformance theory will be tested by
comparing the financial performance of Nasdaq
Baltic stock market companies three years before
and three years after the IPO. The year of the
company's IPO counts as the first year of the "post-
IPO". In total [22], four financial indicators will be
compared: ROA (net profit/assets), ROE (net
profit/equity), profit margin (net profit/net
turnover), gross margin (gross profit/net turnover).
Of all companies listed on the Baltic Stock
Exchange, only 17 companies were available for
analysis. The data were taken from company issue
prospectuses available on Nasdaq Baltic website and
annual reports found in the official state registers.
During the analysis, the sample of companies had to
be reduced by two more companies, Aug Group and
Arco Vara, as these companies entered the market
during the financial crisis and suffered losses of
several million euros starting in 2008. Such rapid
changes in financial indicators had a huge impact on
the overall results, so the decision was made to
exclude both companies from the research.
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The first indicator that was verified is the
profitability indicator for the ROA (see Table 2).
Almost all but four companies have seen a fall in the
indicator of ROA after an initial public offering.
This is largely due to a sharp fall in net profit for all
companies in the third year after the IPO, with the
exception of just a few with a slight increase in
profits.
Table 2. Nasdaq Baltic stock market company ROA
indicator before and after IPO
Name
Avera
ge
ROA
Pre-
IPO
ROA
Post
IPO
ROA
Differen
ce ROA
Linda Nektar
18.3
26.0
10.5
-15.6
Ekspress Grupp
3.5
8.3
-1.3
-9.7
Vilkyškių pieninė
8.0
12.6
3.3
-9.3
Baltika
5.9
9.4
2.4
-7.1
East West Agro
3.9
6.6
1.2
-5.4
HansaMatrix
5.4
6.5
4.4
-2.1
Linas Agro Group
7.4
7.8
6.9
-0.9
MADARACosme
tics
14.9
15.3
14.4
-0.9
Tallink Grupp
7.9
8.1
7.7
-0.5
Nordecon
14.7
14.8
14.6
-0.2
SAF Tehnika
26.5
26.5
26.4
0.0
Silvano Fashion
Group
1.7
1.6
1.9
0.3
Harju Elekter
14.2
13.9
14.5
0.6
Tallinna Vesi
7.9
6.3
9.4
3.1
Trigon Property
Development
9.4
6.9
11.9
5.1
Source: Author's table based on Nasdaq Baltic data
Before and after the IPO, the Wilcoxon test is
used to compare ROA ratios. Consequently, the first
hypothesis is as follows:
H0: ROA ratios of companies remains the same
after an IPO;
H1: ROA ratios of companies decreases after an
IPO.
After the z-test performed (see Table 3), the H1
hypothesis is rejected because the p-value is 0,12,
which is more than 0,05, as well as the z-statistical
value is less than the z-critical value (1.56 < 1.95).
Consequently, despite the fact that the average ROA
decreased after the IPO, its difference is not
statistically significant.
Table 3. Wilcoxon test results for ROA/ROE ratio
of companies
z-Test: Two
Sample for
Means
Pre-
IPO
(ROA)
Post-
IPO
(ROA)
Pre-IPO
(ROE)
Post-
IPO
(ROE)
Mean
11.39
8.54
26.56
15.29
Known
Variance
67.76
80.92
242.67
288.28
Observations
45
45
45
45
Hypothesized
Mean Diff.
0
0
Z
1,56
3.28
P(Z<=z) one-
tail
0.06
0.000520
z Critical one-
tail
1.64
1.64
P(Z<=z) two-
tail
0.12
0.001040
z Critical two-
tail
1.96
1.96
On the other hand, the distribution of the average
ROE factor (see table 4) between companies is not
as significant as in the case of ROA.
Table 4. Nasdaq Baltic stock market company ROE
ratio before and after IPO
Name
Avera
ge
ROE
Pre-
IPO
ROE
Post
IPO
ROE
Differen
ce ROE
Linda Nektar
19.4
28.0
10.8
-17.2
Ekspress Grupp
13.0
27.7
-1.7
-29.3
Vilkyškių pieninė
22.5
41.9
3.2
-38.7
Baltika
12.3
20.0
4.7
-15.3
East West Agro
24.0
41.7
6.3
-35.4
Hansa Matrix
20.1
28.8
11.4
-17.5
Linas Agro Group
19.4
23.4
15.3
-8.1
MADARA
Cosmetics
20.5
23.8
17.1
-6.6
Tallink Grupp
22.4
24.1
20.7
-3.4
Nordecon
46.8
54.1
39.4
-14.7
SAF Tehnika
29.3
26.7
31.9
5.2
Silvano Fashion
Group
4.6
5.5
3.7
-1.8
Harju Elekter
22.7
20.6
24.9
4.3
Tallinna Vesi
17.7
15.3
20.1
4.8
TrigonPropertyDev
elopment
19.3
16.8
21.7
4.9
Source: Author's table based on Nasdaq Baltic data
For several companies it is around 15% - 20%,
which counts well enough, however, companies
with particularly high or low ROE are also found.
Before and after the IPO, the difference in the ratio
is mostly negative again, which indicates that the
financial performance of the companies decreased
after an initial public offer. It is necessary to verify
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whether the change after the IPO is statistically
significant.
In order to verify whether the reduction in the
ROE coefficient after the IPO is statistically
significant, the following hypotheses were set for
the z-test:
H0: ROE ratios of companies remains the same after
an IPO;
H1: ROE ratios of companies decreases after an
IPO.
Based on the calculated result (see Table 3), it
can be seen that the p-value is below 0,05 (0,001)
and the z-statistical value is greater than the z-
critical, thus the H1 hypothesis is confirmed and the
reduction of the ROE coefficient for the Companies
of the Baltic stock market is statistically significant.
The average ROE before the IPO is 26.56%, while
after the IPO only 15.29%, thus showing significant
drop.
The next indicator considered is the profit
margin or the profitability of turnover. The NMP
ratio indicates the percentage of the company's net
profit on net turnover (see Table 5).
Table 5. Nasdaq Baltic stock market company profit
margin before and after IPO
Name
Avera
ge
NMP
Pre-
IPO
NMP
Post
IPO
NMP
Differen
ce NMP
Linda Nektar
16.4
18.9
13.9
-4.9
Ekspress Grupp
2.0
6.3
-2.3
-8.7
Vilkyškių pieninė
3.4
5.9
0.9
-5.0
Baltika
5.2
8.5
1.8
-6.7
East West Agro
2.7
4.5
0.9
-3.6
HansaMatrix
5.7
7.0
4.4
-2.7
Linas Agro Group
3.8
3.4
4.1
0.7
MADARACosme
tics
14.5
12.7
16.2
3.6
Tallink Grupp
12.5
10.3
14.7
4.4
Nordecon
5.5
4.4
6.6
2.2
SAF Tehnika
13.5
8.1
18.9
10.8
Silvano Fashion
Group
2.1
1.1
3.1
2.0
Harju Elekter
12.6
12.9
12.3
-0.6
Tallinna Vesi
33.7
28.5
38.9
10.4
TrigonPropertyDe
velopment
7.1
4.8
9.3
4.5
Source: Author's table based on Nasdaq Baltic data
The NMP ratio varies considerably across all
companies. For many companies, the ratio is less
than 5%, which, however, is considered low. The
difference between pre- and post-IPO indicators is
negative for a smaller number of companies. Mainly
all companies with a positive difference did not
experience such a sharp drop in income after the
implemented initial offer. While a decrease in ROA
and ROE factors after the IPO was observed, there
is still a slight increase in the case of MPRs, so the
z-test hypotheses are as follows:
H0: The NMP ratios of companies remains the same
after an IPO;
H1: The NMP ratios of companies decreases after
an IPO.
Undoubtedly, too small an increase in the
average NMP ratio after the IPO from 9.15% to
9.58% was not considered statistically significant
(see Table 6), as the H1 hypothesis was rejected due
to too large p-value (0.834>0.05).
Table 6. Wilcoxone test results for the NMP score
of companies
z-Test: Two
Sample for
Means
Pre-
IPO
NMP
Post-
IPO
NMP
Pre-
IPO
OMP
Post-
IPO
OMP
Mean
9.15
9.58
31.36
31.33
Known
Variance
56.31
131.65
335.62
375.71
Observations
45
45
45
45
Hypothesized
Mean Diff.
0
0
z
-0.210
0.0073
P(Z<=z) one-
tail
0.42
0.49
z Critical one-
tail
1.64
1.64
P(Z<=z) two-
tail
0.834
0.9942
z Critical two-
tail
1.960
1.9599
The last factor analyzed in this research is the
gross profit margin ratio (see Table 7). OMP
indicates how much the company earns for each
euro of turnover, covering operating expenses.
Table 7. Nasdaq Baltic stock market corporate gross
margin ratio before and after IPO
Name
Avera
ge
OMP
Pre-
IPO
OMP
Post
IPO
OMP
Differen
ce OMP
Linda Nektar
46.4
46.7
46.2
-0.5
Ekspress Grupp
24.0
25.7
22.3
-3.3
Vilkyškių pieninė
11.4
14.0
8.7
-5.3
Baltika
53.7
52.7
54.7
2.0
East West Agro
16.7
15.6
17.8
2.2
Hansa Matrix
20.8
24.1
17.4
-6.6
Linas Agro Group
7.2
7.2
7.1
-0.1
MADARA
59.6
56.6
62.6
6.0
WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on BUSINESS and ECONOMICS
DOI: 10.37394/23207.2022.19.56
Irina Solovjova, Konstantins Talikovs,
Lydia Golubeva, Anna Litvinenko, Ruta Svētiņa
E-ISSN: 2224-2899
644
Volume 19, 2022
Name
Avera
ge
OMP
Pre-
IPO
OMP
Post
IPO
OMP
Differen
ce OMP
Cosmetics
Tallink Grupp
26.7
26.0
27.3
1.3
Nordecon
10.8
10.1
11.6
1.5
SAF Tehnika
36.6
34.6
38.7
4.1
Silvano Fashion
Group
62.0
66.6
57.4
-9.2
Harju Elekter
19.0
19.6
18.3
-1.3
Tallinna Vesi
52.8
49.6
56.0
6.4
Trigon Property
Development
22.6
21.4
23.8
2.4
Source: Author's table based on Nasdaq Baltic data
The average gross margin ratio is mostly high,
however, there are some low-performing
companies, such as the Lithuanian dairy company -
Vilkyšk pieninė. Despite the fact that the
company's turnover increased after the IPO, the
prices of dairy products fell sharply due to the fact
that there was too much milk product supply in
Europe. As a result, the company's gross profit ratio
is significantly lower than that of other companies.
On the other hand, the average OMP difference
before and after the IPO does not look significant
31.36 > 31.33, so the hypotheses for the z-test test
are as follows:
H0: Following the initial public offering, the
indicators of OMP remain unchanged;
H1: Following the initial public offering, the
indicators of OMP decreases.
The statistical results in Table 6 show that the
calculated p-value is greater than 0.05 (0.99) and the
z-critical is higher than the z-statistical
(1,95>0,0073), thus rejecting the H1 hypothesis and
the average difference between OMP results before
and after the IPO is not statistically significant.
Thus, of the four compared financial indicators
for Baltic stock market companies before and after
the initial public offer, only the ROE ratio decreased
statistically significantly after the IPO, indicating
that investors' return on investment in company
shares decreases within three years of the IPO.
Studies between countries show different results,
however, the results of this analysis coincide with
theoretical claims of a deterioration in the
performance of companies after IPOs and works,
where a drop in the performance of enterprises after
the listing on the Stock Exchange is observed. The
reason for the decrease in indicators is considered to
be the over-performance of the companies just
before the IPO and overly optimistic forecasts of
management for further development for attracting
investors, which does not come true [20].
4 Conclusion
The average underpricing in the Baltic states is
11.08%, which is similar for European countries
such as Belgium (11%), Poland (11.7%) and
Portugal (11.5%). Of the four financial indicators
compared (ROA, ROE, NMP, OMP), only the ROE
ratio decreased statistically significantly after the
IPO for Baltic stock market companies before and
after the initial public offering, indicating that
investors' return on investment in company shares is
decreasing within three years of the IPO. The results
of the analysis are consistent with theoretical claims
about the deterioration of the company performance
after the IPOs and works, that observe a decline in
company performance after the IPOs listing on the
Stock Exchange.
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WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on BUSINESS and ECONOMICS
DOI: 10.37394/23207.2022.19.56
Irina Solovjova, Konstantins Talikovs,
Lydia Golubeva, Anna Litvinenko, Ruta Svētiņa
E-ISSN: 2224-2899
645
Volume 19, 2022
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Sources of Funding for Research Presented
in a Scientific Article or Scientific Article
Itself
This work has been supported by the European
Social Fund within the Project No 8.2.2.0/20/I/008
«Strengthening of PhD students and academic
personnel of Riga Technical University and BA
School of Business and Finance in the strategic
fields of specialization» of the Specific Objective
8.2.2 «To Strengthen Academic Staff of Higher
Education Institutions in Strategic Specialization
Areas» of the Operational Programme «Growth and
Employment»
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(Attribution 4.0 International, CC BY 4.0)
This article is published under the terms of the
Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0
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WSEAS TRANSACTIONS on BUSINESS and ECONOMICS
DOI: 10.37394/23207.2022.19.56
Irina Solovjova, Konstantins Talikovs,
Lydia Golubeva, Anna Litvinenko, Ruta Svētiņa
E-ISSN: 2224-2899
646
Volume 19, 2022