
Description of the current location, economic
state, operating conditions, behavior and other
properties of enterprises;
Management, aggregation, and analysis of data;
Modeling of a system for monitoring the state,
diagnostics of equipment and other elements of
enterprise management on which impact by a
disaster.
When using DT to predict disaster impacts on
various activities, on equipment and materials),
technical, economic and socio-economic
information about objects should be used. In this
case, the DT of the enterprise should be used, which
describes the real cause-and-effect relationships
between productions, economic, financial,
organizational indicators of the enterprise and
external impacts. Mathematical models of an
enterprise should also reflect the economic side of
its work; demonstrate how air temperature, wind
speed, precipitation can affect it. For example, wind
speed can increase or decrease the speed of a ship.
The more accurate the calculation of impacts
needed the more detailed data on the environment
in space and time will be required. In this case,
algorithms must take into account the vulnerability
of the object (wind resistance, strength, reliability,
survivability, corrosion resistance). Each of these
indicators depends on climatic parameters, overall
characteristics of the object, and the place of use.
DT is becoming a source of up-to-date data for
services and applications that will help solve every
day and future tasks for a wide range of consumers.
To implement such calculations, it is necessary:
Create unified rules for the formation of the data
composition, structure, types of storage and
designation of vulnerability indicators of
enterprises;
Develop algorithms and models for calculating
enterprise vulnerability indicators;
Prepare a digital formalized passport with
indicators for all disasters and determine the main
indicators of the object's vulnerability (mandatory,
recommendatory, general, sectoral, and
prospective).
The digital passport should reflect types of
activities, materials used, components,
manufactured products, and the production that is
affected by disasters. The prototypes of passports
for these objects already exist in the form of safety
passports for industrial enterprises, territories
(developed in accordance with Decree of the
Government of the Russian Federation of December
18, 2014 No. 1413), which considers impacts of
disaster on enterprises and their activities;
manufactured products, materials used to create
them. The development of such passports should
involve Roshydromet organizations that provide
HMS of enterprises, and experts from other
industries.
With the help of DT, it is possible to assess the
impacts of environmental changes on business
processes by modeling disaster impacts scenarios of
various danger levels on the activities of industrial
enterprises. Consumers of materials and
components should use digital passports with local
threshold values for disaster indicators in impacts
assessment models. The suppliers of materials and
components must remember that each manufacturer
lays down certain requirements for them for their
use, both in the construction of the enterprise and in
the production of products. It is also necessary to
take into account the life cycle of an enterprise,
manufacturing products from design to disposal.
Manufacturers write in the instructions that
accompany each product what should not be done
with the product, what side effects can happen to it
or to the enterprise, where the materials provided by
the manufacturer can be used and under what
external environmental conditions. Manufacturers
of materials, components, products must determine
in advance not only certain conditions (threshold
values of parameters) in which they must be
operated, but also what needs to be done to preserve
the properties of a particular product during storage,
transportation and use. This information will be the
part of DT, claiming to be the object of modeling
the impacts of the environment (Fig. 1).
It is important that experiments with DT can
carry out long before the disaster. The development
of DTs will help create new tools for predicting the
possible impacts of a disaster and assessing their
consequences. Such DT tools should be models of
impacts, damage assessment, calculation of the cost
of preventive measures, as well as modeling the
consequences of decision-making.
DT should describe not only all the properties of
the objects, but also their changes under certain
conditions. In other words, it intends, first, for
mathematical modeling of an object in order to
predict, for example, how the state of an object will
change during a disaster. DT is especially important
for the development of digital transformation and
the transition to Industry 4.0, allowing radically
changing business processes that take into account
the impacts of disasters.
To create a DT in the field of the environment, it
is necessary to develop end-to-end automatic
processing of data in the form of a pipeline “from
observation to decision making” [12]. At present,
this is possible so far only in special cases, when all
International Journal of Applied Sciences & Development
DOI: 10.37394/232029.2022.1.6