Development of a Semi-Analytical Dynamic Force Model
MARIN AKTER1,2, MOHAMMAD ABDUL ALIM1, MD. MANJURUL
HUSSAIN3, KAZI SHAMSUNNAHAR MITA4, ANISUL HAQUE3, MD.
MUNSUR RAHMAN3, MD. RAYHANUR RAHMAN3
1Department of Mathematics, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology,
BANGLADESH
2School of Science, University of New South Wales, AUSTRALIA
3 Institute of Water and Flood Management, Bangladesh University of Engineering and
Technology, BANGLADESH
4Civil, Environmental and Ocean Engineering Department, Stevens Institute of Technology,
Hoboken, New Jersey 07030, USA
Abstract: - A moving water mass generates force which is exerted on its moving path. Cyclone generated storm
surge or earthquake generated tsunami are specific examples of moving water mass generated force along the
coasts. In addition to human lives, these moving water masses cause severe damages to the coastal infrastructure
due to tremendous force exerted on these structures. To assess the damage on these infrastructures, an essential
parameter is the resultant force exerted on these structures. To evaluate the damages, there is hardly any
quantitative method available to compute this force. In this paper we have developed a semi-analytical model,
named as Dynamic Force Model (DFM), by using Variational Iteration Method to compute this force. We have
derived the governing equation on the basis of Saint-Venant equations which are basically 1D shallow water
equations derived from the Navier-Stokes equations. DFM is verified, calibrated, validated, and applied in
Bangladesh coastal zone to compute dynamic thrust force due to tropical cyclone SIDR.
Key-Words: - Semi-analytical method, Variational Iteration Method, Moving water mass, Thrust force, Navier-
Stokes equations, Saint-Venant equations.
Received: June 19, 2023. Revised: February 23, 2024. Accepted: March 21, 2024. Published: June 3, 2024.
1. Introduction
A moving water mass generates force due to
momentum created by the water mass itself and the
acceleration due to its movement. Specific examples
of moving water mass are surge waves generated by
cyclones and tsunami waves generated by
earthquakes that strike the coast with considerable
magnitude of force. Though the sources of these
moving water masses (for example storm surge and
tsunami) are different, the physical characteristics of
their wave propagation (in deep water), nonlinear
transformation (in shallow water) and runup (land
inundation) are identical [1]. Most of the damages of
coastal infrastructures are due to this thrust force. To
assess stability of these structures and to ensure
safety of coastal populations, it is extremely
important to accurately compute this thrust force.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS,
COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCE AND SYSTEMS ENGINEERING
DOI: 10.37394/232026.2024.6.6
Marin Akter, Mohammad Abdul Alim,
Md. Manjurul Hussain, Kazi Shamsunnahar Mita,
Anisul Haque, Md. Munsur Rahman, Md. Rayhanur Rahman
E-ISSN: 2766-9823
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The rapid changes in hydrodynamics near shore
substantially damage infrastructures of coastal
regions. So, from the major concepts of coastal
engineering, storm loading [2] (wind load, waves,
hydrostatic and hydrodynamic loads) and tsunami
induced forces are necessary in a coastal building
code. Water-related loads accompanying a coastal
storm are often not adequately addressed in coastal
building code, with wind generated/ induced waves
producing the most critical and complex forces to
which the coast and its structures are subjected [2].
Few current building codes of coastal structures such
as the city and county of Honolulu Building Code
(CCH); the 1997 Uniform Building Code (UBC 97);
the 2000 International Building Code (IBC 2000), the
SEI/ASCE 7-02 (ASCE 7), and the Federal
Emergency Management Agency Coastal
Construction Manual (FEMA CCM) incorporate the
effects of hydrodynamic loads (surge/tsunami
induced) [3]. The generalized equations of
contributing force components of these codes are
discussed in [1,4-5]. In these codes, computation of
hydrostatic force is the multiplicative combination of
gravitational acceleration and square of specific
energy. Hydrodynamic force is calculated as the drag
force acting on the direction of the uniform flow. But
these codes have over-simplified the process of
estimating the hydrodynamic loads [1]. The forces
are calculated for an instantaneous velocity of
moving water mass for design purposes of coastal
infrastructures. But these codes neglect the non-
linearity of the variation of the total force generated
during a cyclone or Tsunami.
A Tsunami induced force is done by Palermo et al,
2009 [5]. In their study, they considered three
parameters to define the magnitude and application
of tsunami-induced forces: (i) the inundation depth;
(ii) the flow velocity; and (iii) the flow direction [5].
But they did not consider the terms it may/must be
nonlinear of inundation depth, flow velocity and flow
direction as the parameters work together in the field.
Research Gap
From the synthesis of the past studies related to
computation of this thrust force, it is found that over
simplified empirical or semi-empirical approaches
are generally adopted mainly from engineering
perspectives by ignoring physics behind the
generation of this force. This force should actually be
calculated by solving the momentum equation by
considering acceleration of moving water mass and
wind stress due to cyclone effect.
A moving water mass generates force which is
exerted on its moving path that obeys always a
momentum equation. So, it is necessary to define the
thrust force that from the beginning of a cyclone, a
momentum equation should be considered. But no
such studies do this way. Rather they have calculated
the forces individually which are simpler. In reality,
the forces are highly nonlinear and they are
dependent on each other. During the derivation of
thrust forces from the momentum equation, few
nonlinear terms are generated which are not
considered in the previous studies.
Research Question
In this paper, it is discussed the following two
points: (a) How the thrust force generated by the
moving water mass due to cyclone or tsunami can be
computed by following a physics-based approach?
(b)What type of non-linear terms at the end can be
generated during the derivation of thrust force from
the momentum equation by considering moving water
mass and wind stress due to cyclone effect?
In this study, a physics-based approach is applied to
compute this force dynamically. Momentum
equation is used as the basic governing equation
which contains the force and acceleration
components of moving wind and water masses. The
momentum equation is based on the Saint-Venant
equation which is derived from the Navier-Stokes
equation. The equation is solved semi-analytically to
compute the force. As mentioned before, this force,
termed as dynamic thrust force, is responsible for the
damages of coastal infrastructures during
propagation of a cyclone and tsunami. The semi-
analytical model, named as DFM, developed in this
study can simulate this thrust force dynamically
during propagation of a cyclone or tsunami event.
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COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCE AND SYSTEMS ENGINEERING
DOI: 10.37394/232026.2024.6.6
Marin Akter, Mohammad Abdul Alim,
Md. Manjurul Hussain, Kazi Shamsunnahar Mita,
Anisul Haque, Md. Munsur Rahman, Md. Rayhanur Rahman
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2. Materials and Method
2.1 Analytical Methods of Partial
Differential Equations
A wide variety of problems in fluid mechanics are
expressed by partial differential equations and they
are nonlinear. Nonlinearity exists everywhere, and
nature is nonlinear in general. There are many
methods, such as perturbation methods, to solve
nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs). A
method known as the method of separation of
variables is perhaps one of the oldest systematic
methods for solving partial differential equations
including the wave equation. The wave equation and
its methods of solution attracted the attention of many
famous mathematicians including Leonhard Euler
(1707–1783), James Bernoulli (1667–1748), Daniel
Bernoulli (1700–1782), J.L. Lagrange (1736–1813),
and Jacques Hadamard (1865–1963) (Oliviera,
2021). They discovered solutions in several different
forms of partial differential equations. A well-known
analytical method is the Decomposition Method
which was established by Adomian. Special attention
should be paid to Adomian’s decomposition method
[6-7] and Liao’s homotopy analysis method [8]. With
these methods, most PDEs can be approximately
solved without linearization or weak linearization or
small perturbations. However, the approximation
obtained by Adomian’s method could not always
satisfy all its boundary conditions, leading to error
near boundaries. A successful approximation of
solution for partial differential equations is
established with no boundary problems by Ji-Huan
He [9-12] which is known as Variational Iteration
Method (VIM) [13]. This method is based on
analytically solving the equations that result from
discretizing the spatial coordinates of a partial
differential equation [14].
Governing equations formed based on Saint-Venant
equations are characteristically nonlinear partial
differential equations. Functional relations for some
of the variables in the governing equations are not
solvable analytically. Those relations are solved by
the discretization method. Here, Finite difference
method is used [15]. As the equations are solved by
applying coupled VIM that is analytical and
discretization methods which are known as
numerical. For this reason, in this study, this coupled
solution method is termed as ‘semi-analytical’.
2.2 Model Development
According to Newton's Second Law of Motion, the
change of momentum per unit of time is equal to the
result of all external forces applied to the moving
body. In this study, we have also considered wind
force exerted on the moving body. In this case, the
assumptions to the development of the governing
equations and its momentum equation is formed as
described below.
2.2.1 Assumptions to the development of Saint-
Venant Equations
In Fluid Dynamics, the Saint-Venant equations [16]
were formulated in the 19th century by two
mathematicians, Adhémar Jean Claude Barréde
Saint-Venant and Bousinnesque [16]. Saint-Venant
equations are derived from Navier-Stokes equations
[17] for shallow water conditions [18]. Navier-Stokes
equations represent a general model used to model
fluid flows [19-20]. On the other hand, a general
flood wave for 1-D situation [19-20] can be described
by the Saint-Venant equations.
During development of the Saint Venant equations,
following assumptions [17] were made:
Flow is one-dimensional.
Flow is unsteady and non-uniform.
Hydrostatic pressure prevails and vertical
accelerations are negligible.
Streamline curvature is small.
Bottom slope of the channel is small.
The fluid is incompressible.
The gravity force is the only force which is
taken into account. So, the influence of the
Coriolis force is neglected.
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Anisul Haque, Md. Munsur Rahman, Md. Rayhanur Rahman
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In addition to the above assumption, following
assumptions are made for this study:
The steady uniform state of flow is expressed
by Manning’s equation which is used as the
initial condition for solution.
Manning’s coefficient n is used to describe the
resistance effects.
Wind is considered while forming the
momentum equation.
These three additional assumptions do not affect the
basic governing equation.
2.2.2. Conservation of momentum
Inside a control volume according to the conservation
of momentum, conservation of momentum can be
expressed (Vreugdenhil, 1994) as:
󰇟󰇠

󰇛󰇜





(1)
Here, the computation of Momentum flux, Pressure
force, Downslope gravitation force and Frictional
force in the equation (1) are taken from the studies
[16-17]. And the rest term, the frictional force on
water surface due to wind is calculated in this study
and it is described below.
If we consider  
 , the frictional force exerted on the
water surface due to cyclonic wind term is

 (2)
Where, the wind shear stress, i.e.
wind force ; where uw is the wind
velocity, Cw is wind drag coefficient, B is width of
channel and is the density of air.
Hence, in differential form, the momentum equation
is
󰇛󰇜
󰇛󰇜
 
 (3)
The gradient of the pressure force can be rewritten as

 


 (4)
Again, the ratio of the cross-sectional area A over the
wetted perimeter p, which has the dimension of a
length, called hydraulic radius and is defined as
hA
Rp
(5)
Here, we consider wide water body, which is much
wider than the depth, the wetted perimeter is
generally not much more than the width 󰇛󰇜, and
so the hydraulic radius is approximately
(6)
Therefore, the equation (12) simplifies into




(7)
Equation (16) is called the Saint-Venant equation i.e.
1D shallow water equation.
If cyclonic wind is absent in the momentum equation,
the equation (7) becomes




(8)
It also implies a 1D shallow water equation for open
channel flow where cyclonic wind is absent.
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In present study, all these equations are solved semi-
analytically to compute spatial variation of forces
exerted by the wind and water mass.
2.2.3. Variational Iteration Method (VIM)
In 1978, Inokuti [21] proposed a general Lagrange
multiplier method to solve nonlinear problems. The
main feature of the method is as follows: the solution
of a mathematical problem with linearization
assumption is used as initial approximation or trial-
function, then a precise approximation at some
special point can be obtained. Considering the
following general nonlinear system,
󰇛󰇜󰇛󰇜󰇛󰇜
(9)
where L is a linear operator, N is a nonlinear operator
and g(t) is a known analytical function.
Above method was modified into an iteration method
[9-11, 22-23] in the following way:
t
nnnn dguNLuuu
0
_
1)()()(
(10)
where is a general Lagrange multiplier (Inokuti,
1978), which can be identified optimally via the
Variational theory [12,21, 23-24], the subscript n
denotes the nth approximation, and un is considered as
a restricted variation [23], i.e. 
The method is shown to solve effectively, easily, and
accurately a large class of non-linear problems with
approximations converging rapidly to accurate
solutions.
VIM is now widely used by many researchers to
solve linear and nonlinear partial differential
equations. The method introduces a reliable and
efficient process for a wide variety of scientific and
engineering applications, linear or nonlinear,
homogeneous or non-homogeneous, equations and
systems of equations as well. It was shown by many
authors [9-12; 25] that this method is more powerful
than existing techniques such as the Adomian method
[7, 26] or perturbation method [27]. The method
gives rapidly convergent successive approximations
of the exact solution if such a solution exists;
otherwise, a few approximations can be used for
numerical purposes. The existing numerical
techniques suffer from restrictive assumptions that
are used to handle nonlinear terms. The VIM has no
specific requirements, such as linearization, small
parameters, Adomian polynomials, etc. for nonlinear
operators. Another important advantage is that the
VIM method is capable of greatly reducing the size
of calculation while still maintaining high accuracy
of the solution. Moreover, the power of the method
gives it a wider applicability in handling large
numbers of analytical and numerical applications.
2.2.4. Solution of the Governing Equation
Equations (16) and (17) which are known as Saint
Venant equations can be re-written as




(11)
And 



(12)
Where, is air density, is water density, is
cyclonic wind speed, u is water velocity, Cd is water
drag coefficient and Cw is wind drag coefficient.
We express the steady uniform state of flow by
Manning’s flow equation [28] as an initial condition
mentioned in the assumption for the Equations (11)
and (12), which means
󰇛󰇜
(13)
where n is Manning’s roughness coefficient and Rh is
hydraulic radius of the channel.
The correction functional for Equation (11) is
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Marin Akter, Mohammad Abdul Alim,
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󰇛󰇜󰇣

 

󰇤 (14)
The stationary condition is given by
0
01
t
(15)
Equation (15) gives  and substituting the
value of the Lagrange multiplier into the correction
functional, Equation (14) gives the iteration formula.
󰇣

 

󰇤
(16)
The zeroth approximations
2
1
0
3
2
0
1
0, SR
n
xu h
are selected by using the given initial conditions.
Following are the successive approximations,
󰇛󰇜
(17)
󰇣
 
 

󰇤
(18)
󰇩




󰇪 (19)

󰇡
󰇢

(20)
as
󰇡
󰇢
󰇡
󰇢
is the steady and uniform condition.
󰇣
 


󰇤
(21)
Using Equation (20), we get the 2nd iterated formula
as
󰇭




 󰇮
󰇭



 󰇮
󰇭


 
 󰇮
󰇭



 󰇮
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
󰇭



 󰇮

󰇭



 󰇮


(22)
Definite integral
If a function f(x) is continuous on the interval [a, b]
which is divided into n subintervals of equal width 
, the definite integral of f(x) from a to b is
󰇛󰇜
󰇛󰇜


(23)
Using definite integral, we have
tt
x
h
gd
x
h
g
00
and

 (24)
Equation (22) is simplified into
󰇭




 󰇮
󰇭



 󰇮
󰇭


 
 󰇮
󰇭



 󰇮

󰇭



 󰇮

󰇡



 󰇢


(25)
Equation (25) is the approximate solution of Saint-
Venant equation (Equation (11)) to compute velocity
u (including water depth and wind speed), i.e.
Therefore,
󰇭




 󰇮
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Anisul Haque, Md. Munsur Rahman, Md. Rayhanur Rahman
E-ISSN: 2766-9823
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󰇭



 󰇮
󰇭


 
 󰇮
󰇭



 󰇮

󰇭



 󰇮

󰇭



 󰇮


(26)
If we do not consider any wind term in the
momentum equation, the solution becomes
󰇭

 󰇮
󰇭


󰇮󰇭

 󰇮
󰇭

 󰇮

󰇭



󰇮

󰇡

 󰇢
(27)
Equation (27) is the approximate solution of Saint-
Venant equation (when wind speed is absent) given
by Equation (12).
2.3 Computation of Dynamic Thrust Force
Let u(x, t) denotes the water velocity (computed by
using water depth and wind speed as input) at spatial
location x and temporal state t.
If a water particle travels along the curve through the
water body, the rate of change of velocity creates two
kinds of accelerations: (a) Local acceleration and (b)
Convective acceleration. It is worth mentioning that
a force produced from the moving body affected by
both wind and water mass is called thrust force in this
study.
The acceleration for water particle can be calculated
by using



(28)
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where, 
 is called local acceleration i.e temporal
variation and 
 is called convective acceleration
when the particles move through regions with
spatially varying velocity.
Since the water under consideration is moving, it is
acted upon by external forces which will follow
Newton’s second law. i.e.
Therefore, the force for moving fluid (Yazar, et.al.,
2024) can be calculated as
x
u
u
t
u
AF
(29)
which is considered as the dynamic thrust force due
to cyclone generated surge wave.
Using Equation (26), we can compute the local
acceleration as


󰇭



 
 󰇮
󰇭



 󰇮
󰇭

 

 󰇮



󰇭



 󰇮
󰇡



 󰇢
(30)
Again, using Equation (26), we can compute the
convective acceleration as


󰇭








 󰇮
󰇭




 󰇮󰇭




 󰇮
󰇭



 


 󰇮
󰇭





 󰇮
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󰇭


 
 󰇮

󰇭


 
 󰇮

󰇭

 



 󰇮
󰇭


 
 󰇮
(31)
Now we can write the Equation (29) as
󰇯󰇱
󰇭



 
 󰇮
󰇭



 󰇮󰇭



 
 󰇮



󰇭



 󰇮
󰇭



 󰇮
󰇭



 

 󰇮
󰇭



 
 󰇮󰇭



 
 󰇮
󰇭



 

 󰇮
󰇭


 󰇮
󰇭



 
 󰇮
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COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCE AND SYSTEMS ENGINEERING
DOI: 10.37394/232026.2024.6.6
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Anisul Haque, Md. Munsur Rahman, Md. Rayhanur Rahman
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
󰇭



 
 󰇮
󰇭



 󰇮󰇭



 
 󰇮󰇲󰇰
(32)
Where,
󰇭




 󰇮
󰇭



 󰇮
󰇭


 
 󰇮
󰇭



 󰇮

󰇭



 󰇮

󰇡



 󰇢


(33)
Equation (32) is the required equation to calculate
the dynamic thrust force due to momentum created
by the wind and water mass. In present study, these
are used to compute the dynamic thrust force exerted
by the cyclone generated storm surge. The model
represented by Equations (32) and (33) is named as
Dynamic Force Model (DFM).
Equations (32) and (33) contain the derivatives 
,

 ,
 and
 that are solved numerically using
finite difference method [15] and their discretized
forms are written as:

 (34)

 
 (35)

 (36)

 (37)
Here
,.....3,2,1i
. Though the governing equation
of the DFM model is solved analytically
(Variational Iteration Method), some forms are
computed numerically (Finite Difference Method).
For this reason, it is termed as semi-analytical
model.
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To make the DFM directly coupled with Delft 3D
[29], water depth h, wind velocity uw and
discretization interval ∆x computed from Delft 3D
are directly inserted in Equations (32) and (33) t is
to be noted here that any numerical model in lieu of
Delft 3D can be coupled with DFM.
3. Model Verification
Model verification essentially means “model
algorithm and code are correctly implemented” [30].
In this study, the solution algorithm and model code
are verified by comparing the semi-analytical model
results with the numerical solution. We use the
Variational Iteration Method as an analytical
method. To verify this semi-analytical solution, the
numerical method selected is the Finite Difference
Method [15]. The reflexive condition is used as
boundary conditions during the numerical solution.
Using MATLAB, we have prepared two scripts for
the semi-analytical solution and the numerical
solution separately. During comparison, only the
velocity computed from the DFM is compared with
the numerical solution of the governing equation
from which the velocity field is also calculated. This
essentially serves the purpose of model verification.
3.1 Numerical solution using finite difference
method
Finite difference method [31] is considered as a
numerical method for the solutions of the governing
equation (11).
To verify the DFM algorithm and code, the velocity
field computed by the Equation (26) is compared
with the velocity field computed from numerical
solution of the governing equation (11) in a
hypothetical channel where water is flowing from
upstream to downstream.
3.1.1 Hypothetical channel description
A hypothetical channel of 5.1km long, 100m width
and 5m deep is considered for verification of the
model (Fig. 1). Winds with variable speeds are
assumed to blow over the channel. Steady and
uniform state of flow represented by Manning’s
equation i.e.
 is used as initial
condition, where is the hydraulic radius and is
the bed slope of the channel.
Fig. 1: Hypothetical channel
3 different cases (Case-1, Case-2 and Case-3) are
constructed to compare the velocities computed by
DFM with the numerical solution. In Case-1, water
depth and water surface slope are kept constant (Fig.
2) with no wind blowing over the channel. This
results in almost constant water velocity along the
channel. Computed water velocities from the DFM
and the numerical solution are shown in Fig. 3. The
result shows a near perfect agreement between the
DFM and the numerical solution with R2=0.96.
Fig. 2: Water depths h(m) in different positions
x(km) along the horizontal for Case-1.
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Fig. 3: Comparison of longitudinal velocity profile
u(m/s) between the DFM and the numerical solution
for Case-1.
In Case-2, water depth is varying along the channel,
but no wind is blowing (Fig. 4). This results in
variable water surface gradients along the channel.
Comparison of computed water velocity between the
DFM and the numerical solution is shown in Fig. 5.
The result shows a slight decrease of agreement
between the DFM and the numerical solution
compared to Case-1 (R2 decreases from 0.96 to 0.91).
Fig. 4: Water depths h(m) in different positions
x(km) along the horizontal for Case-2.
Fig. 5: Comparison of longitudinal velocity profile
u(m/s) between the DFM and the numerical solution
for Case-2.
In Case-3, wind with variable speed is assumed to
blow over the channel where water depth was
initially constant (Fig. 6). Variable wind speed results
change in water surface gradient along the channel.
Comparison of water velocity between the DFM and
the numerical solution for Case-3 is shown in Fig. 7.
The result shows further decrease of agreement
between the DFM and the numerical solution
compared to Case-1 and Case-2 (R2=0.82 in Case-3
compared to 0.96 in Case-1 and 0.91 in Case-2).
The verification results show systematic deviation of
numerical solution from the analytical solution with
the increase of non-linearity in the system, which is
an inherent drawback of numerical solutions. This
shows that both the solution algorithm and code are
appropriately implemented in DFM.
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Fig. 6: Variable wind Speed uw(m/s) in different
positions x(m) along the channel for Case-3.
Fig. 7: Comparison of longitudinal velocity profile
u(m/s) between the DFM and the numerical solution
for Case-3.
4. Model Calibration
By model calibration, we generally mean selecting
the appropriate model parameters that represent
experimental or field conditions [30]. DFM has two
parameters that need to be calibrated. These are: wind
drag coefficient Cw (see Equation 11) and
Manning’s n (see Equation 12). As mentioned
before, the discretized Equations (34)-(37) are solved
by coupling the DFM with Delft3D. The field
application of DFM is made by coupling the field
simulation result of Delft3D. To make DFM
compatible with Delft3D, the same Manning’s n is
used both for DFM and Delft3D. As the solution
algorithm between DFM and Delft3D is different, for
wind drag coefficient Cw, an empirical equation is
derived between Cw and wind velocity uw which is
used for different field applications of DFM. To
derive this empirical equation, values of the wind
drag coefficient used in a particular application of
Delft3D (which is 0.002) and simulated water
velocity from the same application of Delft3D is
used. To make values of Cw used in Delft3D
compatible with the DFM, following empirical
equation is used:
d
wu
u
C002.0
(38)
Where, Cw is a wind drag coefficient used as the
calibration parameter of DFM, u is the simulated
water velocity for a particular application of Delft3D
and ud is the computed velocity for the same
application of DFM. After a series of model runs with
DFM, relation between wind drag coefficient Cw and
wind velocity uw is established and is shown in Fig.
8.
Fig. 8: Relation between wind drag coefficient Cw
and wind velocity uw computed by applying DFM
Using the relation in Fig. 8, following empirical
equation between Cw and uw is developed:
Cw = 0.000004uw2 + 0.002
(39)
During subsequent model application by DFM,
Equation (39) is used to compute the wind drag
coefficient for specific cyclone wind speed
represented by uw.
The transfer of momentum from air to the ocean
surface produces a wave field that imposes shear
stress which ultimately causes the rise of water level
[32]. The drag coefficient Cw controls the transfer of
momentum from air to water surface in the governing
momentum equation [33]. It mainly depends on wind
speed. In modeling storm surge, this coefficient is a
crucial parameter [34]. Past studies show that this co-
efficient either remains constant or increases with the
increase of wind speed [35-40]. In the present study,
it is found that the wind drag coefficient has a
nonlinear relation with the wind speed (see Fig. 8 and
Equation (50)).
5. Model Validation
Model validation means the ability of the model to
represent the real world for which the model is
developed [30]. As real-world data of thrust force for
any moving water mass is not available, validation of
DFM is performed from two different perspectives.
These are:
R² = 0.727
0
0,005
0,01
0,015
0,02
020 40 60 80
Drag Coefficient (Cw)
Wind Speed (uw)
Drag Coefficient (Cw)
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1. Validation of thrust force of DFM by
comparing velocity-force curve generated
for tsunami and cyclonic storm surge.
2. Validation of flow field of DFM with flow
field simulation from calibrated and
validated numerical model Delft 3D.
5.5 Validation with the tsunami force
Tsunami is a small amplitude wave created by lifting
of water mass above the sea bottom due to rapture of
the sea floor created mainly by earthquakes [41]. The
potential energy of this displaced water mass
converts into kinetic energy [41] and propagates with
tremendous velocity (as high as 800 km/hr) in deep
sea. This wave, when it reaches the coast, is slowed
down but amplified due to shallow water effect and
strikes the coastal structures with the same energy it
had when it was created in the deep sea. On the other
hand, cyclone generated storm surge is an elevated
sea surface above the tide level due to lower
atmospheric pressure and cyclonic wind. The storm
surge acts simultaneously with tide and wind waves.
The energy created due to storm surge is proportional
to the tidal range of storm tide [42]. Similar to
tsunamis, the storm surge is amplified near the coast
due to the shallow water effect. The tsunami wave
contains energy due to displacement of sea water
mass above the sea-bed, whereas the storm surge
contains energy created due to difference of sea
surface elevation measured by tidal range of storm
tide [41-42]. Energy of a tsunami wave is several
times higher than a storm surge (water depth above
sea-bed can be as high as 4000m, whereas, tidal range
of a storm tide can vary between 6m to 7m depending
on the tidal amplitude and strength of the cyclone).
After reaching the coast, both the tsunami wave and
storm surge strikes the coastal structure with a force
which is directly proportional to the energy [43]. This
means that after reaching the coast, the water mass
created due to tsunami and moving with a certain
velocity will exert more force on a coastal structure
compared to a moving water mass moving with the
same velocity but created due to cyclonic storm
surge. The reason is – the moving water mass created
by tsunami contains more energy compared to the
moving water mass created by storm surge [41-42]
and force is directly proportional to energy [43].
In the validation exercise of DFM force, we generate
velocity-force curves for both tsunami and storm
surge. For tsunamis, the velocity-force curve is
generated by using the relation developed by Murata,
et al. (2011) [44] based on Japan tsunami study. They
expressed the water velocity during tsunami wave
propagation as u and the drag force of tsunami as Fd
acting on coastal structures as:
 (40)
 (41)
Where, is the specific weight of seawater, is a
drag coefficient, h is water depth and B is the breadth
of a building in the flow direction. Velocity-force
curve for tsunami wave is generated by calculating
force with the following parameter values suggested
by Murata, et al. (2011) [44]:
= 10.03 kN/m3
= 2.2
= 1.0m to compute the force per unit length of the
structure.
Values of in Equation (41) is calculated from
Equation (40) by assuming different ranges of
velocity 
For storm surge, the velocity-force curve is generated
by applying DFM in the hypothetical channel which
was used for model verification (Fig. 1). In this case,
we used case-3 model setup (Fig. 6), but to get a
reasonable range of force to generate velocity-force
curve, we have used a higher range of wind speed
compared to the wind speed range shown in Fig. 6.
To generate velocity-force curves, different ranges of
velocity are computed in different sections of the
hypothetical channel by applying DFM. These
velocities are used in Equation (29) to compute the
force numerically. The numerical solution of
Equation (29) is equivalent to the semi-analytical
solution of Equation (32).
Comparison of velocity-force curve between tsunami
and storm surge is shown in Fig. 9. The results show
that for the same velocity, tsunami force is several
times higher than storm surge force. With increasing
velocity, this difference also increases. We have
already discussed why tsunami force should be
higher than storm surge force. The velocity-force
curve in Fig. 9 shows that DFM realistically
computes force due to cyclonic storm surge.
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Fig. 9: Comparison of velocity-force curve between
tsunami and storm surge.
5.6 Validation with Delft3D simulation
In this validation approach of DFM, the velocity field
simulated by DFM is compared with the velocity
field simulated by Delft 3D. The study area for this
comparison is the coastal zone of Bangladesh (Fig.
10) for the tropical cyclone event SIDR that made
landfall on the Bangladesh coast on November 15,
2007. Comparison of surge velocities between Delft
3D and DFM at the time of landfall is shown in Fig.
11.
Fig. 10: Coastal zone of Bangladesh.
Fig. 11: Comparison of surge velocities between
DFM and Delft 3D.
To quantify the visual qualitative color comparison,
a one-to-one function is defined among the colors
between the two maps. In this way, it is possible to
quantify the overlapped color and deviated color
between the two maps. The overlapped color shows
the similarity, and the deviated color shows the
dissimilarity between the maps. The comparison is
shown in Table 1. The comparison shows that surge
velocities computed by DFM is 97% similar to that
computed by Delft3D. It is noted here that Delft3D
applied in this study is a validated storm surge model
in the coastal zone of Bangladesh [45]. From this
perspective, this result shows the field validation of
one important parameter of DFM.
Table 1: Map Comparison
Models
In Percentage (%)
Overlapped
Colors
Deviated
Colors
Delft3D – DFM
97%
3%
6. Model Application
The DFM model has numerous prospects in
improving coastal resilience in particular and
structural resilience in general. The model is not only
able to compute dynamic thrust force due to cyclone
generated storm surge, but also can compute the
dynamic thrust force exerted by any moving water
0
150
300
450
600
750
900
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2 7 12
Tsunami Force(kN/m)
Cycloninc Force(kN/m)
Velocity(m/s)
Cyclonic Force
Tsunami Force
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS,
COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCE AND SYSTEMS ENGINEERING
DOI: 10.37394/232026.2024.6.6
Marin Akter, Mohammad Abdul Alim,
Md. Manjurul Hussain, Kazi Shamsunnahar Mita,
Anisul Haque, Md. Munsur Rahman, Md. Rayhanur Rahman
E-ISSN: 2766-9823
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Volume 6, 2024
mass on a structure in its flow path (for example due
to tidal wave, wind wave, flows in ocean, estuaries
and rivers, tsunami etc.). The output from the model
can be used as one of the design criteria of
infrastructures on which force is exerted by the
moving water mass. As the DFM is capable of
calculating spatial and temporal changes of thrust
force, it can also be considered as one of the
monitoring parameters of extreme climatic
conditions related to moving water. As an
illustration, the model is applied to compute dynamic
thrust force due to tropical cyclone SIDR.
Tropical cyclone SIDR is considered as one of the
devastating cyclones that made landfall on November
15, 2007 at the east of Sundarban in Bangladesh
coast. During the time of landfall, the maximum wind
speed of this cyclone was 215 km/hr [46]. This
cyclone is believed to generate a maximum surge
depth of 6m [47-48]. Simulated thrust force due to
cyclone SIDR at the time of landfall is shown in Fig.
12. Table 2 shows the maximum thrust force at
different coastal districts in Bangladesh (the district
names are shown in Fig. 12) due to cyclone SIDR.
Table 2: Maximum thrust force at different coastal
districts of Bangladesh due to cyclone SIDR.
District
Maximum thrust
force (F) in kN/m
Patuakhali
110.5
Barguna
86.6
Bhola
54.1
Pirojpur
49.6
Jhalokati
44.5
Barisal
40.2
Bagerhat
33.2
Noakhali
17.9
Khulna
8.4
Chittagong
6.9
Lakshmipur
6.3
Cox's Bazar
4.8
Satkhira
4.3
Shariatpur
3.1
Narail
2.4
Gopalganj
2.2
Chandpur
2.1
Feni
1.9
Jessore
0.3
According to simulation results of DFM, the coastal
districts of Patuakhali, Barguna, and Bhola (see Fig.
12) are impacted with a very high magnitude of thrust
force (magnitude greater than 50 kN/m, see Table 2).
In the post-disaster damage and loss assessment
report, these districts are also identified as the worst
affected coastal districts in terms of economic and
infrastructure loss [47]. Due to anti-clockwise
rotational impacts of cyclones in the northern
hemisphere, locations on the right side of cyclone
tracks are the most affected. According to DFM
simulation, coastal districts of Patuakhali, Barguna
and Bhola are the worst affected regions which are
situated at the right side of the cyclone track and at
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS,
COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCE AND SYSTEMS ENGINEERING
DOI: 10.37394/232026.2024.6.6
Marin Akter, Mohammad Abdul Alim,
Md. Manjurul Hussain, Kazi Shamsunnahar Mita,
Anisul Haque, Md. Munsur Rahman, Md. Rayhanur Rahman
E-ISSN: 2766-9823
71
Volume 6, 2024
the same time close to the path of the cyclone track.
On the other hand, although Pirojpur, Jhalokati and
Bagerhat are situated close to the cyclone track (see
Fig. 12), magnitude of thrust forces are relatively less
in these districts (less than 50 kN/m) because these
districts are located at the left side of the cyclone
track. The red lines in Fig. 12 show the coastal
embankments (locally known as polders) to protect
the lands from surge waves. DFM simulated thrust
force inside the protected land is only due to cyclone
wind, not due to combined impact of cyclone wind
and moving surge. But the thrust force in the
unprotected land is due to combined impacts of
moving surge and cyclone wind. Thrust force
simulated by DFM can be applied to assess
probability of failure of embankments during
propagation of surge waves and possible damage of
households both inside and outside the protected
land. These data can also be used to further
strengthen these structures or during construction of
new structures in the coastal
region.
Fig. 12. Computed dynamic thrust force due to
cyclone SIDR at the time of landfall in the coastal
zone of Bangladesh.
7. Conclusion
A Dynamic Force Model (DFM) is developed by
semi-analytically solving the Saint-Venant
equations. The model can dynamically compute the
thrust force due to any moving water mass including
cyclone generated storm surge. As an analytical
method, Variational Iteration Method (VIM) is used
to solve the equations. During solution, steady and
uniform state of flow computed by Manning’s
equation is considered as an initial condition. Thrust
force is computed from local and convective
accelerations of moving water.
The model is verified (verification of solution
algorithm and model code) by applying the model in
a hypothetical channel on which wind is blowing.
The computed water velocity by semi-analytical
solution is compared with a finite difference solution.
The verification results show systematic deviation of
numerical solution from the analytical solution with
increasing non-linearity in the system, which is an
inherent drawback of numerical solutions. This
shows the model algorithm and code are
appropriately implemented. To apply the model in
simulating dynamic thrust force due to cyclone
generated storm surge, Manning’s n and wind drag
coefficients are used as the calibration parameters.
For the DFM, an empirical equation is developed by
relating wind drag coefficient with wind speed which
can be used for any specific application (related to
wind driven water flow) of the model. It is found that
the wind drag coefficient increases non-linearly with
the increase of wind speed. Thrust force computed by
DFM is validated by comparing the model result with
the tsunami data studied in Japan. On the other hand,
surge velocity computed by DFM is validated by
comparing the model result with the surge velocity
computed by field validated numerical model Delft
3D. The verified, calibrated and validated DFM is
applied to simulate dynamic thrust force in the
Bangladesh zone due to tropical cyclone SIDR. This
specific application shows the importance of thrust
force as a parameter to assess performance of coastal
infrastructure. DFM has the potential to be applied in
engineering stability analysis of coastal
infrastructures (for example embankments and
building structures) to make these structures resilient
against cyclone generated storm surge and tsunami.
Next version of DFM will include the following:
1. DFM can be made independent by
analytically solving the mass and momentum
equations to compute the surge depth.
2. The zero-surge-depth problem needs to be
solved mathematically.
3. DFM will be made a coupled module to the
present version of Delft 3D. As Delft3D is
open source, this coupling will make DFM to
be used globally as part of Delft3D.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS,
COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCE AND SYSTEMS ENGINEERING
DOI: 10.37394/232026.2024.6.6
Marin Akter, Mohammad Abdul Alim,
Md. Manjurul Hussain, Kazi Shamsunnahar Mita,
Anisul Haque, Md. Munsur Rahman, Md. Rayhanur Rahman
E-ISSN: 2766-9823
72
Volume 6, 2024
Acknowledgement:
Collecting the bathymetry data for Delft3D model
was supported by the ‘ESPA Deltas (NE/J002755/1)’
project funded by the ESPA programme, through
Department for International Development (DFID),
the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC)
and the Natural Environment Research Council
(NERC), UK, and the National Water Resources
Database hosted at Water Resources Planning
Organization (WARPO), Ministry of Water
Resources (MoWR), Government of the People's
Republic of Bangladesh (GoB). The model
development was supported by the DECCMA Project
(Grant No. IDRC 107642), part of the Collaborative
Adaptation Research Initiative in Africa and Asia
(CARIAA), with financial support from the UK
Government's DfID and the International
Development Research Centre (IDRC), Canada, the
WARPO Projects, Research on the Morphological
processes under Climate Changes, Sea Level Rise
and Anthropogenic Intervention in the coastal zone’
and ‘Research on Sediment Distribution and
Management in South-West Region of Bangladesh’
funded from MoWR, GoB and SATREPS
(0510000000023) (funded by JST-JICA) through
‘Research on Disaster Mitigation against Strom
surges and floods in Bangladesh’ are gratefully
acknowledged.
This work is a part of author's Master's thesis, which
is supported by DECCMA project which is further
fine-tuned through different projects including the
recent fellowship project in 2023 by Coalition for
Disaster Resilient Infrastructures (CDRI). The views
expressed in this work are those of the creators and
do not necessarily represent those of DFID and
IDRC, JICA, WARPO, CDRI or its Board of
Governors
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Marin Akter, Mohammad Abdul Alim,
Md. Manjurul Hussain, Kazi Shamsunnahar Mita,
Anisul Haque, Md. Munsur Rahman, Md. Rayhanur Rahman
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Anisul Haque, Md. Munsur Rahman, Md. Rayhanur Rahman
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Contribution of Individual Authors to the
Creation of a Scientific Article (Ghostwriting
Policy)
Marin Akter (Corresponding Author); She had
major role to complete the task. Especially in
Model development, validation, calibration and
verification.
Mohammad Abdul Alim; He contributed on
supervising.
Md. Manjurul Hossain; He contributed on
programming on numerical code.
Kazi Samsunnahar Mita; she contribute on
introduction writing.
Anisul Haque; he contributed on mathematical
equations.
Munsur Rahman; He contributed on supervising.
Md. Rayhanur Rahman; He contributed on
Introduction writing.
Sources of Funding for Research Presented in a
Scientific Article or Scientific Article Itself
Funding is not applicable
Conflict of Interest
The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare
that are relevant to the content of this article.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPLIED MATHEMATICS,
COMPUTATIONAL SCIENCE AND SYSTEMS ENGINEERING
DOI: 10.37394/232026.2024.6.6
Marin Akter, Mohammad Abdul Alim,
Md. Manjurul Hussain, Kazi Shamsunnahar Mita,
Anisul Haque, Md. Munsur Rahman, Md. Rayhanur Rahman
E-ISSN: 2766-9823
75
Volume 6, 2024
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